The most dominant force in the octagon is back and Al Dannity likes Brock Lesnar to add to his legend on Saturday night.
Lesnar will return to power game Brock Lesnar was forced to adapt his strategy against Shane Carwin last time out. That’s a bit of an understatement. From the opening bell Carwin made it clear that he was going to win if the match was a straight-up fist-fight. Lesnar of course is much more than a relentless striking machine and turned the fight around with his wrestling skills to win by submission. Against Cain Velasquez this weekend however I expect to see the UFC Heavyweight Champion focus more on his striking game.
Lesnar has knockout power and when he unloads, Velasquez will feel it. Unlike Carwin, the challenger won’t be able to out-brawl Lesnar and instead will need to find a way to mix it up. Velasquez has a solid wrestling background and comes from the Amateur Wrestling-to-MMA production line of Arizona State University. He lacks experience against the best men in the division however and that won’t help his chances. Victory over Big Nog last time out propelled Velasquez into #1 contender status but he would have been better served with more matches against elite heavyweights before stepping into the octagon with Lesnar. Don’t expect a pretty fight, bet on Brock Lesnar to win as -172 favorite with Sports Interaction.
Shields will make his mark Georges St Pierre will have a close eye on the co-main event on Saturday night when Jake Shields makes his UFC debut. A win over Martin Kampmann would make Shields, a former Strikeforce Middleweight Champion, the #1 contender for GSP’s UFC Welterweight title. Shields won’t have an easy ride this Saturday night as Kampmann has developed a fine reputation in MMA. The Dane looked impressive against Paulo Thiago at UFC 115 and should go the distance with Shields. I like Shields to win on points as -286 favorite with Sports Interaction.
Now or never for Tito Ortiz The woefully inactive Tito Ortiz finally returns for a payday at UFC 121. Ortiz has only fought 4 times since beating Ken Shamrock in 2006, recording 3 defeats and 1 no contest in his annual trips to the octagon. While only a year older than his opponent, Matt Hamill, there’s little to like about the one-time champion’s chances. Hamill is the fresher, more active fighter and he should finish this fight before the end of the second round. Bet on Matt Hamill as -175 favorite with Sports Interaction.
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