Tatiana Suarez vs Montana De La Rosa: UFC Fight Night 220 Odds, Prediction

Suarez is a huge -810 favourite on the MMA odds with De La Rosa +490.

Tatiana Suarez -915
Montana De La Rosa +550

Tatiana Suarez UFC Fight Night 220 Odds

Valentina Shevchenko is the women’s flyweight champion and the 32-year-old Suarez, from California, is unranked despite an 8-0 record in a professional career dating to 2014. Suarez was a two-time bronze medalist in the world championships of freestyle wrestling, former world jiu-jitsu champion and was the strawweight tournament winner in the 23rd season of “The Ultimate Fighter.” She beat Amanda Bobby Brundage by first-round submission (Brabo choke).

Suarez won her next four fights after beating Brundage but hasn’t been in the Octagon since a unanimous decision win over Nina Nunes at UFC 238 in June 2019 as injuries forced Suarez to the sideline for more than three years. She was on the fast track to a UFC title shot before her ailments. It’s not clear if she will stay at flyweight or return eventually to strawweight.

The 5-foot-5 Suarez, a southpaw, has a reach of 66 inches and her fights averages 10:12. She lands 4.82 significant strikes per minute with 65 per cent accuracy and absorbs 1.45 with 48 per cent defence. Her takedown average is 6.47 per 15 minutes with 62 per cent defence, and her takedown defence is 100 per cent.

She has three wins by decision, three by submission and two by KO/TKO. For Saturday, her favoured method of victory is by decision at -125, followed by submission at +290 and by KO/TKO/DQ at +400.

Montana De La Rosa UFC Fight Night 220 Odds

The 28-year-old De La Rosa (formerly Stewart) is from Montana but now fights out of Texas and is also unranked in the division with a 12-7-1 record in a pro career dating back to 2014. She actually lost her first two pro bouts but would win the Xtreme Fighting League flyweight championship.

De La Rosa made her UFC debut on Dec. 1, 2017, on “The Ultimate Fighter 26” finale against Christina Marks and won by first-round submission (armbar). In her past five bouts, De La Rosa is 2-2-1. Her majority draw came against Mayra Buena Silva, and she comes off a lopsided unanimous decision loss to Maycee Barber in April 2022.

The 5-foot-7 De La Rosa has a reach of 68 inches and her fights average 12:03. She lands 2.60 significant strikes per minute with 37 per cent defence and absorbs 3.19 with 42 per cent defence. Her takedown average is 2.08 per 15 minutes, and her takedown defence is 63 per cent.

De La Rosa has eight wins by submission, three by decision and one by KO/TKO. Her three submission wins put her tied with Erin Blanchfield for second most in the history of the division. Gillian Robertson is first all-time with six. Five of De La Rosa’s seven losses are via the judges.

For Saturday, her favoured method of victory is by points at +750, followed by submission at +1400 and KO/TKO/DQ at +2500 with a draw at +6600. That it goes the distance is -135 with no at +105.