Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida: UFC Fight Night Odds

Payton Matthews
May 11, 2023

Almeida is priced as a -525 favourite on the MMA odds and Rozenstruik at+355.

Jailton Almeida -585
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +390

Jairzinho Rozenstruik UFC Fight Night Odds

The 35-year-old Rozenstruik, from Suriname, is 13-4 in a pro career dating to 2012 and ranked ninth in the heavyweight division, which is currently ruled by pound-for-pound king Jon Jones. In kickboxing, Rozenstruik is a former WLF super heavyweight tournament champion and a Superkombat World Grand Prix I runner-up.

Perhaps the most memorable win for “Bigi Boy” came in June 2019 when he beat Allen Crowder just nine seconds in on a knockout (punches). It was the second-fastest KO in heavyweight division history. Rozenstruik stopped a two-fight winning streak last time out, beating Chris Daukaus by first-round KO (punch) just 29 seconds into their December bout. Rozenstruik is the only fighter in UFC history to earn three knockout victories of 30 seconds or less.

The 6-foot-2 Rozenstruik has a reach of 78 inches and his fights average 8:01. He lands 2.93 significant strikes per minute with 46 per cent accuracy and absorbs 3.32 with 45 per cent defence. His takedown average is 0.00 per 15 minutes with zero per cent accuracy, and his takedown defence is 75 per cent.

He has 12 wins by KO/TKO and one by decision with two loses via each. For Saturday, his favoured method of victory is by KO/TKO/DQ at +450, followed by decision at +2000 and submission at +3000. A draw is +6600.

Rozenstruik has faced much tougher fighters than Almeida so far, including former UFC heavyweight champions Andrei Arlovski, Francis Ngannou, Ciryl Gane and Junior dos Santos. It’s part of the reason why Rozenstruik is 3-4 in its past seven after starting his career 10-0.

Jailton Almeida UFC Fight Night Odds

The 31-year-old Almeida is from Brazil, 18-2 in a career dating to 2012, and ranked 12^th in the division. He’s a former Thunder Fight champion who will give up around 20 to 25 pounds to Rozenstruik.

“Malhadinho” also has spent some time at light heavyweight. He hasn’t lost since January 2018 in Shoot Brazil to Bruno Assis. Almeida comes off a 13^th straight win (4-0 since joining the UFC), by second-round TKO (punches) against Shamil Abdurakhimov. Almeida was significant lighter than his opponent in that bout as well. He has 11 wins by submission and seven by KO/TKO (thus none got to the judges) with one loss each by KO/TKO and decision.

Almeida’s four-fight UFC stoppage streak is the second-longest among active fighters in the company behind Sergei Pavlovich (six). The 6-foot-3 Almeida has a reach of 79 inches and his fights average 5:21. He lands 4.19 significant strikes per minute with 64 per cent accuracy and absorbs 0.34 with 10 per cent defence. His takedown average is 6.73 per 15 minutes with 70 per cent accuracy, and his takedown defence is 50 per cent.

For Saturday, Almeida’s favoured method of victory is by submission at -105, followed by KO/TKO/DQ at +195 and points at +675. The over-under for total rounds is 1.5, with the under a -205 favourite. That it does the distance is +600 with no at -1000.