Burns vs. Maddalena Prediction: UFC 299 Betting Odds
Della Maddalena continued his steady climb up the UFC welterweight rankings with a three-round split decision win over Kevin Holland last September at Noche UFC and is now pegged as the No. 11 contender in the 170-pound division. Burns has been idle since suffering a five-round unanimous decision loss to Belal Muhammad when he last entered the octagon in the co-main event at UFC 288 after recording victories in two fights over the previous four months.
Della Maddalena looks to Saturday’s main card clash at Kaseya Center in Miami perched as -165 favourite on the UFC 299 odds. Burns trails as a +140 underdog, while the odds of this three-round fight going the distance are listed at a lengthy +150.
Bet on Burns vs. Maddalena at UFC 299
Gilbert Burns Odds
Gilbert Burns will be looking to avoid suffering consecutive losses for the first time in his pro MMA career when he returns to action on Saturday night. The 37-year-old Brazilian has struggled to produce consistent results while losing three of his past six fights, a run that started with a third-round TKO loss to Kamaru Usman in his bid to claim the UFC welterweight strap three years ago at UFC 258.
However, “Durinho” remains a formidable foe, both standing and on the mat, with nine of his 22 career wins coming by submission along with six wins by KO or TKO. Burns has also regularly demonstrated his ability to go deep, with eight of his past 12 fights going the distance. He has seen eight of his past 10 fights go at least three rounds, with the other two clashes over that stretch ending with first-round victories over Demian Maia and Neil Magny.
Jack Della Maddalena Odds
It hasn’t taken long for Jack Della Maddalena to establish himself as one of the UFC’s most fearsome welterweights. After earning a UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series three years ago, the 27-year-old kicked off his UFC career with four straight first-round finishes, which earned him three straight Performance of the Night bonuses.
In addition to ranking second among active UFC welterweights with an impressive 7.2 strikes landed per minute, the hard hitting Australian also sports a significant strike defence of 67.9%, tops among active UFC 170-pound fighters. Things have gotten a little tougher for Della Maddalena in his past two outings, both of which ended in three-round split decision wins. In addition to getting outstruck by a 127-105 margin in his recent date with Kevin Holland, Della Maddalena was successfully taken down three times in his win over Bassil Hafez last summer at UFC Vegas 77.
UFC 299 Prediction: Gilbert Burns vs Jack Della Maddalena
There is plenty of reason to get excited about Della Maddalena, who has quickly made a name for himself during an epic UFC debut. However, the question is whether he has learned anything from his recent wins over Holland and Hafez. Unlike earlier opponents, the likelihood of Della Maddalena recording a speedy finish on Saturday are pretty low, Indeed, Gilbert Burns arguabky represents the most durable opponent he has ever faced. Accordingly, Della Maddalena must show patience while dictating the terms of engagement. That means staying on his feet and avoiding the mistakes made by Magny and Jorge Masvidal in their recent losses to the talented Brazilian.
Prediction: Gilbert Burns by decision/technical decision (+450)
