Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mateusz Gamrot: UFC Fight Night Odds, Prediction

Undefeated in his past five octagon appearances, Tsarukyan is perched as a lofty -300 favorite ahead of Saturday night’s UFC Fight Night matchup at UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Unbeaten in three previous appearances at UFC APEX, Gamrot prepares for his first ever main event appearance as a lengthy +215 underdog.

Arman Tsarukyan Odds

Tsarukyan has made steady gains in the UFC rankings during his current 5-0-0 run. The 25-year-old has rocketed to No. 11 among UFC lightweight contenders in the wake of back-to-back knockout victories over Christos Giagos and Joel Alvarez. Tsarukyan needed just 129 seconds to finish Giagos on punches, while absorbing just one significant strike.

The former FEMFP lightweight champion tallied another overwhelming TKO on punches in his last outing, finishing Joel Alvarez in just under seven minutes in their February matchup at UFC Vegas 49. In addition to earning him a second straight Performance of the Night bonus, Tsarukyan’s win over Alvarez also marked the first time he has finished opponents in consecutive outings since joining the UFC three years ago.

However, a lengthy battle could work against Tsarukyan on Saturday night. While the long-time freestyle wrestler has been dominant in recent contests, he lacks experience in championship rounds, and has seen just seven of his 20 career fights last a full 15 minutes.

Mateusz Gamrot Odds

Mateusz Gamrot has kept busy since joining the UFC in in late 2020, and his heavy scheduled has paid dividends. “Gamer” suffered a heartbreaking split decision loss to Guram Kutateladze in his promotional debut at UFC Fight Island 6, but followed up with a trio of victories in 2021, highlighted by a speedy submission win just 65 seconds into his clash with Jeremy Stephens at UFC Vegas 31.

In addition to the win over Stephens that earned him a Performance of the Night bonus, Gamrot was simply dominant while disposing of Scott Holtzman by second-round KO. He subsequently demonstrated his ability to dominate on the mat in his most recent outing, successfully executing four takedowns before ending Carlos Diego Ferreira’s night by second-round TKO last December at UFC Fight Night 199.

The 31-year-old also enjoys experience in marquee matchups featuring championship rounds. Former holder of both the KSW lightweight and featherweight straps, Gamrot is well accustomed to both the pressure and duration of five-round clashes, and saw two of his final three fights before joining the UFC go a full five rounds.

UFC Fight Night Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mateusz Gamrot

While Tsarukyan has captured headlines, Gamrot has quietly gone about his business while climbing to No. 12 in the UFC lightweight rankings. The Polish star is at a two-inch reach advantage, but brings a level of versatility to this contest that Tsarukyan will struggle to match. Expect a spirited slugfest early on, with Gamrot taking control as this matchup progresses.

Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot to win in round 4 (+2000)