Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Odds, Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays start arguably the biggest remaining homestand of the season on Monday night by welcoming the AL East rival and formerly red-hot Red Sox.
Boston is -145 on the MLB odds with a total of 8.5 runs.
MLB Betting Odds and Trends
When saying that Monday opens perhaps Toronto’s biggest remaining homestand, that’s from a playoff perspective. The Blue Jays can likely forget about returning to the post-season at this point, but they certainly will have a say in the AL East and wild-card races especially this week in hosting Boston for four games and then the New York Yankees for three. After that, only two playoff contenders visit Rogers Centre the rest of the way.
Boston has completely turned its season around and now sits third in the AL East, seven games behind Tampa Bay. Probably not catching the Rays there, but the Red Sox holds the Junior Circuit’s second Wild-Card spot and 5.5 games ahead of the third, so they are in a good shape for the playoffs. As things stand now, it would be Red Sox at Yankees in one AL Wild-Card Series. Who wouldn’t want to see that?
This is the last series of the season between the Red Sox and Blue Jays with Toronto leading 6-3 and 2-1 at home. But most of that success took place in the first half of the campaign and before Boston took off. George Springer has hit Red Sox pitching well this year at .360 with two homers and seven RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 13-for-33 in the series with a homer, double, six RBIs and six runs scored.
Boston Red Sox
Boston had been all but unbeatable since June 25 but enters on a two-game skid and off its first series loss since July 1. Baseball is a funny game because the Red Sox lost those at home to an Athletics team that has mailed it in on the season and is missing several key players.
One of Boston’s big trade acquisitions in former Orioles All-Star catcher Adley Rutschman has yet to debut with the club due to a wrist injury but is on track to do so in this series. It just won’t be Monday.
Ace right-hander and AL Cy Young contender Sonny Gray (14-2, 2.78 ERA) is on the mound. Gray was actually the subject of trade rumors until the Red Sox figured things out. He comes off six shutout innings in a victory over the White Sox.
In two starts this year vs. the Blue Jays, Gray is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and .333 opponents’ batting average in 12.0 innings. George Springer is a career .313 hitter off him with two homers in 32 at-bats.
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto returns off a 4-3 road trip, and the bullpen is very taxed with the club having played back-to-back games that went at least 11 innings in Philadelphia on Saturday and Sunday. George Springer missed both with left shoulder tightness, but it’s not thought to be series and he could be in there Monday – especially considering those excellent splits above.
Recent trade pickup Jameson Taillon gets the call on the mound. Taillon (2-6, 5.96 ERA) was DFA’d by Chicago before the teams agreed on the minor trade. Taillon was getting shelled with the Cubs with homers a major problem, and that continued in the 34-year-old’s Blue Jays debut last Wednesday in Houston. Taillon allowed three runs and six hits, including a homer, over four innings in a no-decision.
In just 80 innings this year, Taillon has given up 26 dingers – tied for third-most in the majors. He hasn’t faced Boston in 2026.
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