Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 15, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to keep pace in the AL wild card race as they prepare to open a three-game home set against AL East rival Baltimore on Monday.

Baltimore
82-78
AT
August 15, 2022, 7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
Toronto
91-69
Runline +1.5 -135
Moneyline +141
Over / Under o +9

29%

Betting Action

71%

Runline -1.5 +113
Moneyline -169
Over / Under u +9

29%

Betting Action

71%

The Blue Jays are going to see the Orioles a lot down the stretch of the regular season as the AL East rivals open a three-game series in Toronto on Monday. The Jays as -160 favourites to win on the MLB odds.

Betting Analysis

These teams just played two games last week in Baltimore (was supposed to be three but one was rained out) and the Orioles won both – but they are vastly better at home than away. Baltimore leads the season series 4-2 and is 2-2 in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are hitting a stellar .318 in the season series, but the team ERA is an ugly 5.77. Matt Chapman is batting .429 vs. Baltimore with three homers, five RBIs and six runs scored. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 11-for-27 with two homers, five RBIs and six runs. Teoscar Hernandez and Bo Bichette also have gone yard twice. The only guys not really hitting in the series are George Springer (on the IL) and Cavan Biggio.

Baltimore his batting .262 in the series but has hit 11 homers. Ryan Mountcastle is 12-for-25 with four homers, four doubles, 10 RBIs and seven runs scored. Austin Hays has three homers.

The Jays have won 35 of the past 52 in the series. The over is 6-0-1 in the previous seven in Toronto.

Baltimore Orioles

When the Birds visited Toronto in mid-June, reliever Keegan Akin and outfielder Anthony Santander – a key player in the lineup – were not able to enter Canada due to their COVID vaccination status. It was reported last month, though, that the entire 40-man roster was now vaccinated.

It’s scheduled to be 25-year-old right-hander Kyle Bradish (1-4, 6.42) on the mound Monday, and he’s probably the weak link of that group right now. He allowed three runs over 5.1 innings last Tuesday but took a no-decision vs. the Jays. Bradish allowed five runs and nine hits over 4.1 innings on June 13 in Toronto and took the loss – the last time he got an actual decision. Bichette is 2-for-5 with a solo homer off him. Guerrero is 3-for-6 with two RBIs, and Alejandro Kirk 3-for-5 with two knocked in. The Orioles are 5-0 in their past five Monday games.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays have dropped six of eight following Sunday’s 7-2 home loss to Cleveland. Toronto is now 17-13-6 in series play this season (11-5-2 at home). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. had three hits Sunday, his team-leading eighth three-hit game of the season. He’s up to second in the AL with a .308 average (Minnesota’s Luis Arraez leads at .333).

The weak link of the Toronto rotation right now is clearly lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13), and he might be pitching to keep his spot Monday. Kikuchi was roughed up for five runs on six hits (three homers) over five innings in a loss last Monday in Baltimore. He also lost at home to the Orioles on June 14, giving up four runs (two homers) over four innings. Kikuchi has allowed a concerning 18 homers overall in his 19 starts. Mountcastle is 3-for-7 off him with two homers, a double and three RBIs. Anthony Santander is 2-for-5 with a homer and two RBIs, and Ramon Urias 2-for-4 with a dinger and four knocked in. Toronto is 7-3 in its past 10 after a loss.

Who Will Win Orioles vs. Blue Jays?

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