Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 18, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays are headed to the Bronx to open a four-game set against the New York Yankees on Thursday night.

Toronto
92-70
AT
August 18, 2022, 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
NY Yankees
99-63
Runline +1.5 -158
Moneyline +131
Over / Under o +9

68%

Betting Action

32%

Runline -1.5 +132
Moneyline -157
Over / Under u +9

68%

Betting Action

32%

Off a disappointing homestand, the Blue Jays head back out on the road starting Thursday night at the AL East-leading New York Yankees. The Yankees are -150 favourites to win on the MLB odds.

Betting Analysis

In early July, the Yankees were near a pace that would have seen them threaten the MLB record of 116 regular-season wins, but they have fallen WAY off in the second half and are well under .500 since. The AL East title is in no jeopardy, but the Yankees aren’t going to finish with the best record in baseball and possible home-field advantage throughout the World Series (most likely the Dodgers will). New York may not even finish as the top seed in the American League at this point as it trails AL West leader Houston. Toronto isn’t playing much better of late and its Wild-Card chances are no sure thing.

New York leads the season series 8-4 and is 4-2 at Yankee Stadium. The teams have just one regular-season series after this, a three-game set at Rogers Centre from Sept. 26-28.

Toronto Blue Jays

Perhaps there are no such things as must-win games in mid-August, but the Jays faced something pretty close Wednesday as they avoided a home sweep at the hands of the Orioles with a 6-1 victory. George Springer didn’t start simply for a maintenance day but got the offence going with a pinch-hit RBI single in the seventh – Toronto would score all six runs in the inning. Whit Merrifield didn’t start, either, or enter the game at all. Santiago Espinal appears to be interim manager John Schneider’s choice to start at second base against right-handed pitchers with Merrifield vs. lefties.

Jose Berrios (8-5, 5.61 ERA) gets the call on the mound Thursday. He has been terrible in two August starts at 0-1 with a 15.26 ERA and bad on the road overall at 2-4 with a 7.50 ERA in 11 starts – the road ERA is the worst among AL qualified starters by a wide margin. Berrios is 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA in 10.1 innings vs. the Yankees this year. Aaron Judge is 6-for-15 off him with a double and homer. Andrew Benintendi (a guy the Jays were also looking to acquire ahead of the deadline) is 9-for-21 with two doubles, a triple and a homer. The Jays are 2-6 in their past eight vs. teams with a winning record.

New York Yankees

All-Star reliever Clay Holmes was placed on the injured list Wednesday. The Yankees hugely miss slugger and former NL MVP Giancarlo Stanton in their lineup. Stanton landed on the IL on July 24 with left Achilles tendinitis but will begin a rehab assignment this weekend. Former batting champion DJ LeMahieu hasn’t started since Saturday with a toe injury but believes he will Thursday. With not much protection in the lineup, Judge has cooled off and breaking the AL record of 61 homers now looks unlikely, although he’s still the heavy favourite for AL MVP.

It will be trade acquisition Frankie Montas (4-9, 3.59 ERA) on the mound Thursday; he was acquired from Oakland at the deadline for prospects. Montas has made two starts with New York and hasn’t gotten a decision with a 9.00 ERA. He hasn’t faced Toronto in 2022. Merrifield has seen him the most of any Blue Jay and is 8-for-16 with a double. The Yankees are 5-16 in their past 21 vs. teams with a winning record.

MLB Prediction: Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Yankees?

SportsInteraction