Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated May 26, 2023

The Blue Jays make their lone visit of the season to the Twin Cities starting Friday when they open a three-game series against the AL Central-leading Twins.

May 26, 2023, 8:10 PM ET
Target Field
Runline -1.5 +111
Moneyline -162
Over / Under o +7.5
Runline +1.5 -134
Moneyline +133
Over / Under u +7.5

Toronto is -150 on the MLB odds.

Jays vs. Twins May 26 Betting Analysis

Minnesota had a very interesting offseason. The Twins thought they lost star Carlos Correa in free agency as the San Francisco Giants outbid the Twins by a sizeable amount … only for the Giants to see something they didn’t like in Correa’s physical. He never signed the contract and ended up going to the New York Mets … only for the team to see something it didn’t like in Correa’s physical. He then went back to Minnesota, which had no issues with Correa’s past injuries. Rare win for a small-market franchise with a big-market talent.

This is Toronto’s lone trip to Minnesota this season, and the Twins visit Rogers Centre from June 9-11. The Twins won the season series last year 4-3 and they split four games at Target Field. Luis Arraez torched Toronto pitching with a .429 average on the way to the AL batting title but was traded this offseason to Florida for pitcher Pablo Lopez, who is scheduled for Saturday’s game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit .333 with four homers and eight RBIs in 2022 vs. Twins pitching.

Toronto Blue Jays

Outfielder/leadoff hitter George Springer and catcher Danny Jansen didn’t start Thursday’s series finale at the Rays, a 6-3 loss. Springer should be good to go Friday but Jansen was to have an MRI on a groin injury. Daulton Varsho will serve as the emergency backup catcher to Alejandro Kirk for now. The Jays are now 8-15 in May and players called a post-game meeting following Thursday’s loss. It’s right-hander Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.14 ERA) on the mound Friday. He deserved better last time out vs. Baltimore in allowing two runs over eight in a no-decision. The Jays have lost his past four, but Gausman has taken a decision in just one of those. He’s 2-3 with a 4.09 ERA on the road this year and 0-4 with a 6.36 ERA in 46.2 innings vs. Minnesota career. Last season, he allowed three earned over 9.2 innings against the Twins. All-Star outfielder Byron Buxton is 1-for-7 off him. Christian Vazquez is 5-for-23 with 10 strikeouts. The Jays are 8-1 in their past nine vs. AL Central teams. 

Minnesota Twins

The Twins lead the very mediocre AL Central and might be the division’s only hope to finish with a winning record this year. Star shortstop Carlos Correa is dealing with a muscle strain in the arch of his left foot in addition to plantar fasciitis in his heel, so he might need to land on the injured list – a decision should come before Friday’s game. Correa is off to a disappointing start with a .213 average. Outfielder Joey Gallo, among the MLB leaders with 11 homers, missed Wednesday’s game with a hamstring injury, and the Twins were off Thursday so his status is TBA. They start rookie right-hander Louie Varland (2-0, 4.18 ERA) on the mound Friday. He has been much better at home at 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts. The 25-year-old, a Twin Cities native, has never faced Toronto. The Twins are 0-5 in their past five series openers. 

MLB Prediction: Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Twins?