Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated May 23, 2024

MLB: Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Fresh off their first series win in a month, the Blue Jays head back out on the road for seven games starting Thursday as they open a four-game series at the Detroit Tigers.

Toronto
35-39
AT
May 23, 2024, 6:40 PM ET
Comerica Park
Detroit
34-40
Runline -1.5 +165
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +7.5

0%

Betting Action

68%

Runline +1.5 -200
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +7.5

0%

Betting Action

68%

Looks to be a potentially good pitching matchup with the Tigers as slight favourites on the MLB odds.

Betting Analysis

One break for Toronto in this four-game series at Comerica Park in that Tigers left-hander Tarik Skubal, arguably the best southpaw in the American League right now and among the Cy Young betting favourites, pitched Wednesday in Kansas City so he’ll miss the Jays.

Detroit has some excellent pitching but has modestly disappointed with a below-.500 record and well out of first in the AL Central because the lineup still has a lot of major question marks. Former No. 1 overall pick Spencer Torkelson, 24, had a breakout power season in 2023 but has regressed in a big way. I would expect the Tigers to be active in that regard ahead of the trade deadline to try and reach the playoffs for the first time since 2014 and finish with a winning record for the first time since 2016.

This is the only series between the teams in the first half with Detroit making the relatively short trip to Rogers Centre for three games starting July 19 – the first series after the All-Star break. Toronto was 4-2 vs. Detroit last season (2-1 on the road) and hasn’t lost a season series against the Tigers since 2018.

Toronto Blue Jays

It would have been nothing short of disastrous for the Jays to lose a home series to the horrid Chicago White Sox to start this week. Toronto was booed off the field following a 5-0 loss in Game 2 but did take two of three thanks to a 9-2 blowout win Wednesday to improve to 5-8-3 in series play (4-4-0 at home) on the year. Bo Bichette is starting to warm up at the plate and was 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBIs in the win. Chris Bassitt went seven stellar innings, which means the Blue Jays bullpen is in good shape tonight behind righty Kevin Gausman (2-3, 4.89 ERA). The 33-year-old blamed a slow start due to a spring training injury and admits he probably should have opened the regular season on the injured list. Gausman has been much better of late for the most part, allowing three earned or fewer in five of his past six. He is 2-3 with a 3.38 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Detroit. Javier Baez is 3-for-16 off him with a homer and seven strikeouts. Kerry Carpenter is 2-for-6 with a triple and homer. The Jays are 3-7 in their past 10 road games.

Detroit Tigers

Detroit was swept out of Kansas City on Wednesday, 8-3, and has lost four in a row overall – all by multiple runs. A couple of regulars got Wednesday off, led by infielder and AL Rookie of the Year candidate Wenceel Perez. He’s hitting .311 over his past 25 games with three doubles, four triples, three homers and 13 RBIs. Perez’s .297 season average leads all qualified rookies. The team has another good rookie infielder in Colt Keith, who is 12-for-21 with two doubles, four RBIs and four runs scored in the past seven days. It’s righty Jack Flaherty (1-3, 3.79 ERA) on the mound. The former long-time Cardinal was signed to a one-year, prove-it deal in free agency by Detroit. The 28-year-old once was one of the promising pitchers in the National League with St. Louis but injured derailed things. Flaherty looks nearly back to that point this season with 72 strikeouts in just 54.2 innings. He had 14 on April 30 against his old Cardinals team, including tying an AL record by whiffing the first seven of the game. Flaherty is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in two career starts vs. Toronto. We might see Daniel Vogelbach get a rare start at DH for the Jays as he’s 2-for-9 off Flaherty with two doubles and five walks. Justin Turner is 3-for-15 with a homer. Detroit is 2-4 in its past six at home.

MLB Prediction: Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Tigers?

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