Blue Jays vs. Rays Game 2 MLB Playoff Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Sep 29, 2020

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Just like that, the Toronto Blue Jays are on the brink of elimination. They'll turn to ace Hyun-Jin Ryu in Wednesday's Game 2.

Toronto
32-28
AT
September 30, 2020, 4:07 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
40-20
Runline +1.5 -186
Moneyline +119
Over / Under o +7

83%

Betting Action

17%

Runline -1.5 +155
Moneyline -143
Over / Under u +7

83%

Betting Action

17%

The Toronto Blue Jays’ season is on the line Wednesday afternoon (4 p.m. ET) from St. Petersburg, Fla., as the Jays face the AL East champion Tampa Bay Rays in Game 2 of their best-of-3 Wild-Card round series. The Rays are favoured to end the series on the MLB odds.

MLB Wild Card Blue Jays vs. Rays Betting Analysis

Wednesday is a truly unprecedented day in the postseason history of Major League Baseball with all 16 playoff teams in action. Of course, the field was expanded for the coronavirus-shortened regular season but many think some form of expanded playoffs will be here to stay.

For what it’s worth, spanning the past 10 years in the MLB regular season, teams that won the first game of a three-game series went on to win the series 75.5 percent of the time. Tampa Bay took the opener on Tuesday vs. Toronto, 3-1, in the first-ever playoff matchup between the division rivals.

The Blue Jays included first baseman/DH Rowdy Tellez on the Wild-Card roster even though he had been out since Sept. 8 with a strained right knee. He didn’t start the opener but had a pinch-hit single in the eighth and scored Toronto’s lone run. The Jays did outhit the Rays 5-4. Manuel Margot had what would prove to be the game-winning two-run homer in the bottom of the seventh. He went yard just once in 145 regular-season at-bats.

Pitchers Tanner Roark and Jordan Romano were left off the Jays’ roster. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. played first in the opener and young catcher Alejandro Kirk, who hit so well down the stretch, was the DH.

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays manager Charlie Montoyo made the shocking decision to start Matt Shoemaker in Game 1 over ace left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu, but Ryu will be on the mound at Tropicana Field on Wednesday and on extra rest. The 33-year-old was 5-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 12 starts this season. Ryu was even better on the road – although technically the Jays played only road games this year – with a 3-1 record and 2.20 ERA. He faced Tampa Bay twice, both in Florida. Ryu’s Blue Jays debut was July 24 and he allowed three runs and four hits over 4.2 innings in a no-decision. Toronto would win the game 6-4.

On Aug. 22, Ryu took another no-decision in what would be a 2-1 Jays loss in 10 innings. He allowed one run and three hits over five. Ryu was 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA in two day starts this year, although the Trop is a dome so it won’t feel like daytime inside. Ryu has pitched in eight playoff games in his career, all with the Dodgers. He’s 3-2 with a 4.05 ERA. Batters have hit .261 off him.

Tampa Bay Rays

Rays Game 1 starter Blake Snell won the 2018 AL Cy Young Award, and Game 3 starter – if there is one – Charlie Morton was third in the 2019 voting. However, the Tampa Bay pitcher with the nastiest stuff on the staff is Game 2 starter Tyler Glasnow. He was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP this season and had 91 strikeouts (10th in the majors) in just 57.1 innings. Glasnow didn’t face the Blue Jays but did twice in 2019. He didn’t get a decision, allowing two runs with nine strikeouts in 6.1 innings. Toronto batters hit .050 off him. Randal Grichuk has seen him the most, going 2-for-13 with two homers and seven strikeouts. Jonathan Villar is 2-for-12 with four Ks.

Glasnow was worse at home (4.85 ERA) than on the road (3.45) this year. Glasnow has made two career playoff starts, both in last year’s ALDS vs. Houston. He lost both with a 7.71 ERA. Glasnow allowed six runs and nine hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings.

MLB Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Rays?

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