Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 23, 2022

Right-hander Alek Manoah gets the start on the mound Friday as the Toronto Blue Jays open a three-game set in Milwaukee.

Toronto
61-52
AT
June 24, 2022, 8:10 PM ET
Miller Park
Milwaukee
61-52
Runline -1.5 +109
Moneyline -157
Over / Under o +8.5

92%

Betting Action

8%

Runline +1.5 -131
Moneyline +131
Over / Under u +8.5

92%

Betting Action

8%

For the first time since 2017, the Toronto Blue Jays face the Milwaukee Brewers in interleague action with a three-game set starting Friday in Wisconsin. The Jays are -150 favourites to win the opener on the MLB odds behind young ace Alek Manoah.

Betting Analysis

The Blue Jays and Brewers last played in 2017 and they split four games, each losing both at home. Milwaukee doesn’t visit Toronto this season, but the teams will play one series a season starting in 2023 – interleague play will be expanded to where every AL club will see every NL club at least for one series.

The Brewers have reached the playoffs each of the past four seasons but haven’t been to the World Series since 1982, their lone visit and as an American League team, when they lost to St. Louis. When everyone is healthy, Milwaukee has arguably the best rotation in the major leagues but a few of those starters are currently on injured reserve as is second baseman/leadoff hitter Kolten Wong. There is no more un-hittable pitcher in MLB than closer Josh Hader. If the Brewers lead entering the ninth, it’s over.

Milwaukee’s offence is rather inconsistent. From 2018-19, Christian Yelich was arguably the best hitter in the National League and won MVP honours in 2018, but he’s a shell of his former self. No Brewers regular is hitting close to .300. Former Blue Jay Rowdy Tellez, traded from Toronto to Milwaukee in July 2021 for pitchers Trevor Richards and Bowden Francis, is an everyday player and having a solid year.

Toronto Blue Jays

Thursday’s off day was needed for the Jays after a wild three-game series at the White Sox, in which Toronto’s bullpen was overused and torched. The Blue Jays scored at least six runs in all three games, yet only won Wednesday’s finale. Bo Bichette launched his second career grand slam in that one. Outfielder and leadoff man George Springer sat Wednesday due to elbow discomfort.

It’s Manoah (8-2, 2.00 ERA) on the mound for the opener Friday as he looks to boost his AL All-Star chances. The right-hander comes off a bit of an off outing, allowing four runs in 5.1 innings last Saturday in a home loss to the Yankees. Manoah has been a bit better on the road with a 1.80 ERA. The only Brewer to have faced him in a regular-season game is Hunter Renfroe, who is 0-for-2 with two strikeouts. Toronto is 6-4 in its past 10 as a road favourite.

Milwaukee Brewers

Minor disadvantage in that the Brewers had to play Thursday vs. St. Louis, but they didn’t have to travel. Usual regulars Omar Navarez (catcher) and Renfroe (outfielder) didn’t start, but it was simply a rest day. Renfroe is second on the team with 13 homers. The Brewers are 2-1 vs. the American League this year (Baltimore).

Right-hander Adrian Houser (4-7, 4.24 ERA) is scheduled to start on the mound Friday, his first career outing vs. Toronto. Milwaukee is 5-8 in his 13 starts, and he has five quality. Opponents are batting .256 off him with six homers. Houser has been much better at home (2.94 ERA) than on the road (5.50 ERA). A few Jays have faced him with other teams. Raimel Tapia is 3-for-7 with a double, Matt Chapman 0-for-3, and Springer 1-for-2. Milwaukee is 4-6 in its past 10 as a home underdog.

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