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2024 BMW Championship: PGA Tour Golf Betting Odds

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is again favoured on the golf odds.

Needless to say, there is no cut this week. The Top 30 in points after Sunday advance to the Tour Championship, where everyone in the field will have a mathematical shot of winning the FedExCup. The current No. 31 in points is Tommy Fleetwood. The last guy into this field at No. 50 is Keegan Bradley, while the unlucky No. 51 was South Korea’s Tom Kim. 

Canada’s Mackenzie Hughes (No. 52) and Nick Taylor (No. 58) also failed to advance past the FedEx St. Jude Championship won on Sunday by Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama. He started the final round with a five-shot lead but still had to birdie the final two holes to win in Memphis to vault to No. 3 in the FedExCup standings. Hughes had been in the Top 50 entering but a total of three players moved out after Memphis and three in. The three in were rookie Nick Dunlap, defending FedExCup champion Viktor Hovland and Eric Cole, while Kim and Jake Knapp joined Hughes as those getting bumped out.

This tournament is going to be quite tough to handicap because it moves around a fair amount and is being played at Castle Pines Golf Club in Castle Rock, Colo., a suburb of Denver. It’s a par 72 at 6,200 feet above sea level – which is why it’s the longest course in Tour history at 8,130 yards. It marks the PGA Tour’s return to Colorado a decade after the 2014 BMW Championship was held at Cherry Hills Country Club and won by Billy Horschel. Castle Pines Golf Club hasn’t hosted a Tour event since the now defunct International ended in 2006. 

The defending champion is Norway’s Hovland. At Olympia Fields outside Chicago in 2023, Hovland finished at 17-under 263 and two shots up on England’s Matt Fitzpatrick and Scheffler. Hovland shot a course-record 61 in the final round, including a 7-under 28 on the back nine, to rally past Scheffler and Fitzpatrick, who both shot 66s. It was the lowest finish by a winner on the PGA Tour last season, Hovland’s career low, and the lowest final-round score in the history of the FedExCup playoffs.

We backed an American winner last year and specifically Max Homa, but he finished T5 thanks in large part to a 1-over par third round. For a point of comparison, Hovland shot 5 under in Round 3 and finished exactly six shots up on Homa. 

The last repeat winner of the BMW Championship was Patrick Cantlay in 2022 when that tournament was played at Wilmington Country Club in Delaware. The 2025 BMW Championship will be held at Caves Valley in Maryland, which also hosted in 2021 – when Cantlay won his first BMW title. 

BMW Championship Golf Odds

Scottie Scheffler (+330) has such a big lead atop the FedExCup standings that he most likely is No. 1 entering the season-ending Tour Championship. Scheffler shot four rounds in the 60s in Memphis and finished T4. Dude is a robot. Hide

Xander Schauffele (+550) is the only player who could supplant Scheffler atop the points standings, but Schauffele would have to win at a minimum have to a shot. He put major pressure on Sunday’s Memphis winner Hideki Matsuyama in the final round with a 63 but settled for second. 

Rory McIlroy (+1000), Collin Morikawa (+1400), Matsuyama (+1600) and Viktor Hovland (+1800) round out the favourites. Hovland needed a huge tournament in Memphis to get into the Top 50 and got it with a T2. He now sits 16th in points, so he’ll be fine to defend at the Tour Championship. McIlroy was 68th last week and Morikawa T22. 

No Canadian has won this tournament. Corey Conners was the top finisher last year at T10, while Adam Svensson was T16, Adam Hadwin 44th and Nick Taylor 47th. Conners needs a good week sitting 33rd in points and is +4500 to win, while Hadwin (42nd) is +15000 and Taylor Pendrith (27th) at +6600. He was the top Canadian in Memphis at T22. 

BMW Championship Golf Predictions

We will simply take an American winner at -190. Flying too blind at a new course to accurately predict an individual.