2023 BMW Championship: PGA Tour Golf Betting Odds
Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are co-favourites on the golf odds and are 1-2-3 in points.
It was the Top 70 in points competing at the playoff-opening FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis over the weekend won by Lucas Glover – his second straight win on Tour — and anyone who was outside the Top 50 after that had their season end. The Top 30 after the BMW Championship advance to the Tour Championship and the chance to win the FedExCup.
Believe it or not, the BMW Championship is the longest running regular PGA Tour event on the calendar outside of the four majors, but that comes with a bit of an asterisk because it used to be known as the Western Open and took on the current name when the playoffs debuted in 2007. Tiger Woods won it that year (and again in 2009).
It will be tougher to handicap the BMW because it has moved around some in recent years and will be played at Olympia Fields’ North Course, about 25 miles south of downtown Chicago. It last hosted in 2020 when Spain’s Rahm beat now LIV golfer Dustin Johnson in a playoff after both finished 72 holes at 4-under 276.
This event moved to Caves Valley in Maryland two years ago and American Patrick Cantlay beat another current LIV golfer, Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff. Last year, it was held in Wilmington, Delaware, and Cantlay won again, finishing at 14-under 270 and one up on Scott Stallings. Cantlay, who got a massively lucky bounce on a shot at 17 in the final round, became the first player to win the BMW Championship back-to-back since the FedExCup began.
A total of four players moved from outside the Top 30 last year at this event to inside it after: Stallings Adam Scott, Aaron Wise and K.H. Lee.
BMW Championship Golf Odds
I’m not sure that anyone can argue against Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy as the three best players on the PGA Tour so they should be +800 co-favourites in a way. Each will advance to the Tour Championship sitting Top 3 in points, but the higher in points a golfer finishes, the better “head-start” score at the finale. As noted above, Rahm won here in 2020. McIlroy won the BMW in 2012 in Indiana. Rory also missed a playoff Sunday at the FedEx St. Jude by only a shot. It was his eighth straight Top 10 finish this year. Rahm was T37 and Scheffler T31.
Two-time reigning champion Patrick Cantlay is +1000 with Tommy Fleetwood +1500 and Viktor Hovland +1600. Cantlay lost Sunday in the St. Jude playoff to Lucas Glover (+3500 to win a third straight Tour event this year). Fleetwood finished T3 like McIlroy. Hovland was T13. Eric Cole is the only rookie to advance to the BMW Championship (42 in points) and is a +8400 longshot.
No Canadian has won this tournament and unfortunately Mackenzie Hughes won’t get a shot this year as he was the unlucky No. 51 on the points after the FedEx St. Jude on Sunday. Nick Taylor is 16th and +12700 this week, Corey Conners is 25th and +4000, Adam Hadwin is 37th and +6300, and Adam Svensson 39th and +6000. Conners is the +150 favourite as top Canadian.
BMW Championship Golf Predictions
Americans make out the vast majority of field so we’ll simply take a USA winner at -139. Individually, we’ll lean Max Homa at +2300 with three straight Top 12s on Tour.