Stampeders vs. RedBlacks Prediction: CFL Week 5 Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Tue. Jul 10 2018, 06:07 pm

The top game in Week 5 of the CFL season is also the first one as Calgary visits Ottawa on Thursday night in a matchup of division leaders.

The Stamps are 3-point favourites at Sports Interaction.

Betting Analysis

While Calgary leads the West Division and Ottawa is atop the East, the Sports Interaction oddsmakers look at them quite differently. The Stamps are +180 favourites to win the Grey Cup and the Redblacks +800. The teams played in the 2016 Grey Cup, with Ottawa pulling a 39-33 upset.

The clubs met in Week 3 this year with Calgary prevailing 24-14 at home as a 7.5-point favourite. It was just a 7-6 Stamps lead at halftime as the defences dominated. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 251 yards and two scores, while Don Jackson rushed for 84 yards and a TD. Trevor Harris struggled for Ottawa, completing 44 per cent of his passes for 135 yards and a pick and was eventually pulled. The Redblacks were stopped twice at the Calgary goal-line early in the fourth quarter.

Calgary is -132 to be the first team to score Thursday, with a touchdown the leader at +310. Ottawa is -111 to score first with a TD at +333. The favourite on winning margin is Stamps by 1-6 points at +350, followed by Redblacks by 1-6 points at +375.  Calgary by 10 points as last time would pay out at +400.

The over is 6-1-1 in the past eight meetings.

Calgary Stampeders

The Stamps come off a bye week and are the only unbeaten team in the CFL. They also have allowed the fewest points, just 35 in three games, and are tied for first with four forced fumbles and second with nine sacks. Mitchell has thrown for 872 yards and six TD passes, third and second in the league, respectively. Jackson is third in rushing with 294 yards, and Eric Rogers is tied for third with three touchdown catches.

With everything clicking, an argument could be made that the bye week came at the wrong time. “I think we got the advantage (vs. Ottawa), a little bit, because they played another game that we got to look at,” Kamar Jorden said. The Stamps are 6-1-2 all-time in regular-season action against the current Ottawa franchise. They are 6-1 ATS in their past seven Thursday games overall.

Ottawa RedBlacks

The Redblacks were 7.5-point favourites last week in Montreal and won 28-18. No quarterback controversy here as Harris bounced back from that Calgary debacle by throwing for 342 yards and three touchdowns. Brad Sinopoli caught 11 passes (career high) for 148 yards and a touchdown; Noel Thomas and former Alouette Jean-Christophe Beaulieu had the other TD catches. William Powell rushed for 138 yards on 23 carries.

The Ottawa defence held Montreal without a point in the middle two quarters. Michael Wakefield had two sacks. It was the Redblacks’ fifth straight home win and ninth in their past 10 overall against the Als. Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its past seven after a win.

Stampeders vs. RedBlacks Prediction

  • CALGARY STAMPEDERS
    30
  • OTTAWA REDBLACKS
    28
  • Score
    Prediction
CFL Predictions