Stampeders vs. Argonauts Prediction: CFL Week 2 Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 20, 2018

Bo Levi Mitchell

The second week of the CFL season wraps up with one of the most anticipated games of the early going as Calgary visits Toronto in a rematch of last year’s Grey Cup.

Calgary
13-5
AT
June 23, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
BMO Field
Toronto
4-14
Pointspread -3.5 -115
Moneyline -165
Over / Under o +51

70%

Betting Action

30%

Pointspread +3.5 -105
Moneyline +140
Over / Under u +51

70%

Betting Action

30%

The Stamps opened as 3.5-point favourites at Sports Interaction.

Stamps vs. Argos CFL Betting Analysis

Toronto is the biggest home underdog in Week 2; the only other home team getting points is Montreal +3 on Friday against Winnipeg. The total of 51.5 in Stamps-Argos is the second-highest on the board. Calgary is -165 on the moneyline with Toronto at +140. Early action is heavy on Calgary minus the points and over the total.

Calgary is -133 to score first, and the favoured scoring play at +300 is a Stampeders touchdown. Toronto is -108 to score first. On the winning margin prop, Calgary by 1-6 points is +350 followed by the Argos by 1-6 at +375.

The Stampeders have covered five of the past six regular-season matchups overall and five of their past six in Toronto. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings. In the 2017 Grey Cup, Calgary was -7 but upset 27-24 with the Argos outscoring the Stamps 11-0 in the fourth quarter. Lirim Hajrullahu hit the winning 32-yard field goal in the snow with 53 seconds left, but he’s no longer with Toronto. Matt Black intercepted Bo Levi Mitchell in the end zone with eight seconds remaining.

Calgary Stampeders

Last week, Calgary was a 9-point favourite over visiting Hamilton, and we projected a 35-20 final score. The Stamps nearly hit that 15-point mark, winning 28-14. Calgary wasn’t overly efficient offensively as on the first five trips to the Hamilton 20, the Stampeders managed four Rene Paredes field goals and an interception. They would outscore Hamilton 19-3 in the fourth. Mitchell was unusually inaccurate, completing just 17 of 36 for 297 yards, a touchdown and an interception.

Rookie running back Don Jackson had 12 carries for 87 yards, including a 44-yard score. The Stampeders made a roster move this week, releasing third-string QB Ricky Stanzi. He was in a four-man battle to back up Mitchell throughout training camp but that job went to Nick Arbuckle. Stanzi was the No. 3 QB in Week 1. Calgary has covered just one of its past six road games.

Toronto Argonauts

Toronto was a 3-point road favourite at Saskatchewan in Week 1 but lost 27-19 (we projected a 30-26 Roughriders win). The Argos’ offence really struggled with just five points through three quarters and finished with 265 total yards. Ricky Ray threw for 233 yards (more than 100 of those in the fourth quarter) but no touchdowns and had a fourth-quarter interception returned 66 yards for a touchdown that essentially clinched it.

James Wilder Jr., the CFL’s Most Outstanding Rookie in 2017, totaled just 17 rushing yards. He did catch four passes for 68 yards. Head coach Marc Trestman said the pressure from the Roughriders’ front four disrupted the Argos’ timing. Toronto played well on defence, but cornerback Qudarius Ford was hurt in the loss and likely misses this game. The Argos have covered four of their past five following an ATS loss.

Stampeders vs. Argonauts Prediction

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