RedBlacks vs. Alouettes Prediction: CFL Week 4 Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jul 04, 2018

The Redblacks' William Powell rushed for 87 yards on seven carries in the first half of their game against Calgary last week.

Ottawa
11-7
AT
July 06, 2018, 7:30 PM ET
Percival Molson Memorial Stadium
Montreal
5-13

72%

Betting Action

28%

72%

Betting Action

28%

Montreal hasn’t won back-to-back games since the end of the 2016 season. The Als have a shot at it Friday night but are 7.5-point Sports Interaction underdogs against visiting Ottawa.

Betting Analysis

The Alouettes are the biggest underdogs on the Week 4 schedule, with heavy early action on Ottawa giving the 7.5 points. If that continues, the number is unlikely to fall below the magic number of 7. The total of 48.5 is the lowest on the board, and the Sports Interaction betting lean is on the over. On the moneyline, Ottawa is -290 and Montreal +230. The first-half moneyline has the Redblacks at -220 and Als at +180.

On the first team to score prop, Ottawa is +162 with a touchdown the leader at +270. Montreal is +115 with a TD at +400. The favoured winning margin is Redblacks by 7-12 points at +325. Ottawa at 1-6 points and 13-18 points are both +450 and ahead of Montreal by 1-6 points (+600).

The Redblacks have covered their past five games in Montreal, and the total has gone under in all five. Last year, Ottawa was 3-0 in the series, with the one in Montreal finishing 24-19. The teams met this preseason with Ottawa winning 27-7 at home.

Ottawa RedBlacks

Ottawa was a 7.5-point underdog in Calgary last week and lost 24-14. Trevor Harris struggled against the Stamps’ defence, completing 13 of 29 for 135 yards and an interception. He was eventually pulled for Dominque Davis, who completed 5 of 7 for 41 yards and the team’s lone touchdown late to Greg Ellingson. The only other bright spot on that side of the ball was William Powell, who rushed for 87 yards on seven carries in the first half. He was held to 26 on six carries in the second.

The Ottawa defence, which forced three turnovers, will be without veteran linebacker Kyries Hebert this week. He was suspended a game for a hit on Calgary receiver DaVaris Daniels. The Redblacks have covered their past four after a loss.

Montreal Alouettes

The Alouettes were 10.5-point home underdogs last week to Saskatchewan and pulled off a 23-17 upset to end a 13-game losing streak. The Montreal defence played terrific, holding the Roughriders without a touchdown until the fourth quarter and 278 total yards. Montreal wasn’t great on offence with 264 yards. Boris Bede kicked five field goals. Drew Willy was 8-for-15 for 157 yards and a score before leaving in the third quarter with an injury.

Jeff Mathews finished 8-for-12 for 98 yards in his first action as an Alouette and is likely to get the start vs. Ottawa unless Willy’s condition (stinger) improves. Mathews joined the Alouettes on June 12 after he was cut by the Argos. His last CFL start was last year for Toronto against Montreal. Offensive lineman Philip Blake injured his knee against the Roughriders and will miss this one. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their past against East Division teams.

RedBlacks vs. Alouettes Prediction

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