Nik’s Picks: CFL Week 10 Predictions, Point Spreads, Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Oct 06, 2021

The CFL is back with a 14-game season, and Week 10 starts Wednesday night in Ontario with the Ottawa Redblacks facing the Toronto Argonauts.

The CFL is back with a 14-game season, and Week 10 is a special five-game slate that begins on Wednesday night and ends with a double-header on the Monday Canadian Thanksgiving. Both the Ottawa Redblacks and Toronto Argonauts play two games out East, while Edmonton travels to Winnipeg Friday night and Calgary and Saskatchewan go for a rematch in Regina Saturday.

Nik’s Picks is here for you to gain on edge on the lines throughout the 2021 CFL season.

Ottawa Redblacks @ Toronto Argonauts

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Toronto -8.5, Over/Under 47

Caleb Evans against McLeod Bethel-Thompson is a QB matchup maybe no one anticipated before the 2021 CFL season, but it’s the latest mid-week whacky tandem we’ve got. There’s no surprise Ottawa’s in the middle of it, but the one surprise could be that the Argos seem to have their best guy under centre for Week 10.

Bethel-Thompson’s carried an unfair rap as a reckless gunslinger, but a five to zero touchdown to interception ratio and one of the league’s highest quarterback efficiencies in 2021 says otherwise. Toronto’s looked their best with Bethel-Thompson, and they have quite the cast around him.

With the Redblacks, refrain from drinking the Kool-Aid after another win over Edmonton. Ottawa’s yet to beat an opponent not named Edmonton, and are still last in touchdowns scored and touchdowns against. Toronto’s more talented plus are 3-0 at home — take the safe play.

Ottawa 15 Toronto 28

Best bet: Toronto -9

Edmonton Elks @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Winnipeg -12.5, Over/Under43.5

Trevor Harris is set to return to Edmonton’s starting lineup and it’s fair to be confused to what that means. The Elks are dead last in the West at 2-5 but have two wins in which Harris threw for 694 yards. On the other hand, if you want any sort of consistency you turn to Winnipeg.

Zach Collaros is 11-1 with Winnipeg and they are the clear top dog right now; Winnipeg’s a perfect 4-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 13 points too.

Friday could see quite a bit of rain and at first glance, this potentially favours Edmonton as they’re second in the CFL with 5.3 yards per rush. The Bombers are also the worst run defence in the CFL at 5.5 yards against per carry. That’ll make for a close contest, but Winnipeg knows how to win and Edmonton doesn’t yet.

Edmonton 20 Winnipeg 23

Best bet: Edmonton +12.5

Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Roughriders

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Saskatchewan -3.5, Over/Under 43.5

Last week a certain column that rhymes with Picks Nik’s claimed Saskatchewan would cruise at Calgary. That didn’t happen, but look further down and you’ll see the same sentence copied and pasted. For various reasons, stick with Saskatchewan.

First, Cody Fajardo had an off game and missed several deep shots he usually makes. Trust Jason Maas to scheme those same open looks based off what transpired a week ago. For Calgary, Bo Levi Mitchell continued to have his fair share of misses and got nicked up.

Both teams’ kickers also missed periods of practice on Tuesday too, which is something to monitor prior to kickoff. If either is out Saturday, the under is worth a serious look given the uncertainty with kicking. Lastly, Mosaic’s a different animal for Riders games and it shows with their 4-1 home record in 2021. Let’s try this again: the Roughriders cruise.

Calgary 13 Saskatchewan 23

Best bet: Under 43.5

Ottawa Redblacks @ Montreal Alouettes

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Montreal -7.5, Over/Under 48.5

Ottawa’s second game of Week 10 (only in the CFL) comes on Thanksgiving against a well-rested Montreal team. The Als will need it too, specifically Vernon Adams Jr. who played through an ankle injury in Week 9. Adams Jr.’s heroics led Montreal to an overtime win at Hamilton, the type of win the could turn around a season.

It just so happens that Monday allows Montreal to climb back to .500 on the season and to keep pace in the East. And now it’s time for a rare edition of “establish the run,” which should be a key piece of the Als’ game plan against Ottawa. Montreal’s first in both rushing yards per game (147) and yards per rush (5.9). Ottawa’s last in rushing yards against (110.9) and seventh in yards per rush against (4.9). Expect William Stanback to crack the century mark in rushing yards, and expect the Als to control this one from start to finish.

Ottawa 17 Montreal 29

Best bet: Montreal -7.5

Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Hamilton -5, Over/Under 43.5

Monday in Hamilton is for first place in the East Division. Like Ottawa, this will be the Argos’ second game of the week meaning it’s difficult to predict what’s going to happen (i.e. who will be Toronto’s quarterback, are the Argos riding a high after a big win on Wednesday, are there new injuries that could affect this game, etc.).

But this is a predictions column, so let’s get to it. Monday’s the third meeting of the season between Toronto and Hamilton. They split the first two, one of which featured Brandon Banks and neither Jeremiah Masoli. Both will play Monday, as will receiver Bralon Addison who led all Tiger-Cats in Week 9 with nine touches for 80 yards in his 2021 debut.

The Ti-Cats defence is very strong, but how good they are on offence is unknown as chemistry appears to be an issue. Right now, the Argos are lacking unknowns and so they make a statement on the road.

Toronto 28 Hamilton 25

Best bet: Toronto moneyline

2021 Nik’s Picks:

Best bet record: 17-17

Moneyline record: 17-17