Canelo vs. Gennady “GGG” Golovkin 2: Rematch Odds and Predictions

Payton Matthews | Thu. Sep 13 2018, 09:09 am

The most anticipated boxing match of the year is on tap Saturday late night from Las Vegas as Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin stage a rematch of their thrilling yet controversial 2017 bout.

GGG is again the Sports Interaction boxing odds favourite.

Canelo vs. GGG 2 Odds

Middleweight Record On Line for GGG

We don’t preview boxing matches all that often here at Sports Interaction because the interest isn’t much there. The “sweet science” has been far surpassed by the UFC in terms of combat sports. Everyone knows who Georges St-Pierre is, but how about former Canadian boxing light-heavyweight champion Jean Pascal?

There are only a few boxers who drive the betting needle and warrant a preview. One is Floyd Mayweather Jr., and depending on the day he’s either retired, pondering a boxing rematch with Conor McGregor or training for an Octagon fight vs. the UFC star.

Two others are Gennady Golovkin and Saul “Canelo” Alvarez. They do battle in a rematch Saturday night from Las Vegas for Golovkin’s WBA and WBC middleweight titles. This could be the biggest pure boxing match from a pay-per-view and betting handle standpoint since Mayweather fought Manny Pacquiao in a May 2015 snoozer. This fight however, will not be boring.

The 36-year-old Golovkin, from Kazakhstan but now living in Los Angeles, is 38-0-1 with 34 knockouts and is the No. 1 ranked pound-for-pound boxer in the world by Ring Magazine. GGG is a wrecking ball. The 28-year-old Alvarez, from Mexico, is 49-1-2 with 34 KOs. He’s easily the most popular fighter in a boxing-mad country and his only loss came to Mayweather in 2014 by majority decision.

Canelo vs. GGG First Fight Recap

GGG was a similarly-priced favourite against Alvarez last September in Las Vegas and the fight was wildly entertaining and full of action. It was ruled a draw despite the fact most observers thought Golovkin was the winner. One judge ruled it 115-113 in favour of Golovkin and the other 114-114. The third judge, Adalaide Byrd, incomprehensibly had it 118-110 in favour of Alvarez – she must have had her eyes closed all fight or was on the take.

Byrd gave Golovkin only the fourth and seventh rounds even though GGG landed 218 of 703 shots (31 per cent) overall compared to 169 of 505 (34 per cent) for Alvarez. Golovkin also landed more punches in 10 of the 12 rounds. Even Alvarez’s promoter questioned Byrd’s card. Needless to say, she won’t be ringside Saturday.

Fans wanted a rematch immediately and were due to get one in May, but Alvarez tested positive for a performance-enhancing substance he blamed on contaminated meat in Mexico. He was suspended six months. GGG did fight in May regardless, trouncing an overmatched Vanes Martirosyan by second-round knockout.

That was GGG’s 20th straight successful middleweight title defence (in a draw, the champion retains the belt), tying the all-time record held by Bernard Hopkins (from 1995-2005). In bout No. 21, Hopkins lost to Jermain Taylor; Hopkins would later beat Pascal twice for lower-level light-heavyweight tiles. The retired Hopkins will be ringside Saturday.

Canelo vs. GGG 2 Prediction

Golovkin by decision – which is priced at +200.