Liverpool vs Arsenal: Premier League Odds, Prediction

Edgar Chaput
April 6, 2023

A dream season might be coming to fruition for Mikel Arteta’s Gunners. That said, the alarm should be ringing loudly as trips to Anfield have been disastrous in recent years, to say nothing of Liverpool being a wounded and dangerous animal at the moment.

That Liverpool is at home makes this one difficult to judge. Arsenal are +134 on the Premier League odds and the Reds +166. A draw is pegged at +257 and the total is set at 3.0.

Arsenal FC +148
Draw +225
Liverpool FC +178

Liverpool vs Arsenal Betting Analysis

So much is at stake for both clubs even though what each chases is vastly different. Arsenal lead the Premier League table by eight points, which sounds like a lot, but Manchester City have a game in hand and there is another tête-à-tête between the top two clubs down the road. If Arteta’s side isn’t careful, the lead could be no more than two points in a few weeks.

As for encounters between these two teams, prior to last autumn’s 3-2 defeat at the Emirates, Liverpool have largely been successful against Arsenal in recent seasons. That loss halted a five-game stretch of Premier League and Carabao Cup contests that either ended in Liverpool’s favour or in a draw. The kicker here is that Arsenal haven’t claimed the spoils at Anfield since September 2012. Liverpool, both before and since Jurgen Klopp, are on a 7-2-0 (win-draw-loss) run at home.

Liverpool have seen the goodwill of their 7-0 demolishing of Manchester United evaporate with losses to the previously mentioned City, Bournemouth, and a sleepy midweek draw with Chelsea. Arsenal coast on a seven-game league winning streak, although it’s been some time since they’ve faced opposition as stiff as Liverpool. Most of those wins came against clubs they should defeat anyways.

Liverpool

One would have thought that, even without the services of Mohamed Salah, Liverpool were favoured when heading to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday to play a directionless Chelsea outfit.

Darwin Nunez was called upon to inject life into the offence, with Fabinho operating as the man up front. What might have surprised the Reds was that Chelsea came out swinging, in large part thanks to the long-awaited return of N’Golo Kanté. The spry midfielder excited the Blues faithful in the early goings, but the hosts failed to break the deadlock. That is to say, they thought they had twice through Reece James and Joao Felix, but both were called back (offside and handball). It was, for the most part, a tepid affair. What once was a “game of the season” appointment just a few years ago was anything but on Tuesday. Half-chances that flew over the bar and sloppy finishing in the final third produced just what both sides deserved: 0-0.

Arsenal

If the pressure is supposed to be mounting on Arsenal, a side that has specialized in fumbling the ball in big moments in recent years, the Gunners didn’t get the memo when Leeds came to the Emirates last Saturday.

It was, admittedly, a slow start. Whether it was fear of committing a fatal mistake or the fact that it was the first game after the international break, Leeds honestly looked like the better team for about 20 minutes. Even the Emirates crowd was strangely subdued for a match of such importance. That all changed when the referee awarded Gabriel Jesus a penalty in the 35^th minute, which he converted with ease. From that point onwards, Arsenal looked like a team with an eight-point lead in the table. Ben White scored a beauty off a cross in the 47^th, and Jesus earned his brace in the 55^th by slicing into the box to accept a pass and rocket a shot. Granit Xhaka slotted a pretty header in the 84^th to cap off a comfortable 4-1 final.