Inter Milan vs. Atalanta: Serie A Prediction, Odds and Betting Preview
Things suddenly got interesting in Serie A last week. Inter Milan’s march toward the Scudetto hit a speed bump when derby rivals AC Milan slowed them down again.
Atalanta’s week was even rougher. Their Champions League hopes took a heavy blow in a brutal 6-1 loss to Bayern Munich.
Now the focus shifts back to domestic play. Inter is 8-0-2 in the last 10 meetings between the two clubs.
Inter Milan vs. Atalanta Start Time and Where to Watch
Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET on Saturday at San Siro in Milan.
Fans in Canada can typically find Serie A matches on Fubo Sports Network Canada or TLN, depending on the broadcast schedule.
Inter Milan vs. Atalanta Odds and Betting Trends
Inter enters the matchup as a clear favourite to sweep the season series.
Moneyline odds
Marcus Thuram is the favourite (-150) to record a goal or assist in the match. The French striker is returning from injury and has not featured since appearing as a substitute in a scoreless draw against Como on March 3.
However, Thuram has cooled off lately. He has just one goal and one assist in his last eight appearances.
Recent form for both sides has been uneven.
Inter is 2-2-1 in its last five matches across all competitions and was held scoreless by both AC Milan and Como.
Atalanta has struggled even more, going 1-2-2 in its last five matches while conceding 13 goals during that stretch. Six of those came in the loss to Bayern Munich, but La Dea has still allowed at least two goals in four straight matches.
Inter Milan vs. Atalanta Head-to-Head Trends
Recent meetings between these clubs have tilted heavily toward Inter.
• Inter is 8-0-2 in the last 10 meetings
• Inter won the reverse fixture earlier this season
• Atalanta has struggled defensively in recent road matches
That history is part of why sportsbooks continue to price Inter as a strong favourite in this matchup.
Inter Milan Team News
Inter’s recent dip in attacking production coincides with the absence of leading scorer Lautaro Martinez.
Martinez has 14 Serie A goals this season and led the club in scoring during its 2023-24 Scudetto campaign. He has not featured since Inter’s 3-1 loss to Bodo/Glimt in the first leg of their Champions League tie nearly a month ago.
Marcus Thuram is expected to return to the starting lineup. Meanwhile, Federico Dimarco, who leads Serie A with 14 assists, will play a key role in creating chances from the wing.
Martinez scored the 65th minute winner when these teams met in Bergamo shortly after Christmas, but he will miss Saturday’s match.
Midfield star Hakan Calhanoglu, who has eight league goals, is doubtful to play. Defender Alessandro Bastoni is also listed as questionable.
Atalanta Team News
Atalanta hopes to welcome back Brazilian midfielder Ederson, who has missed the last month with a muscular injury.
Belgian forward Charles De Ketelaere is not expected to return.
Striker Gianluca Scamacca recorded a brace in a 2-2 draw with Udinese last week. He leads Atalanta with eight Serie A goals, though he has not scored in a road match since early December at Verona.
Even with Champions League hopes fading, Atalanta still has plenty to play for.
The club remains alive in the Coppa Italia, with the second leg of its semifinal matchup against Lazio coming next month.
And in Serie A, La Dea sits seventh in the table, just five points behind fourth-place Como in the race for Champions League qualification next season.
Inter Milan vs. Atalanta Prediction and Best Bet
Both teams come into this match after difficult outings. Still, Inter’s situation looks far more stable.
The Nerazzurri continue to control the Serie A title race and have dominated this matchup for several seasons.
Atalanta’s defensive form is the bigger concern. Conceding 13 goals across five matches suggests a team struggling to contain attacks, especially away from home.
Even without Lautaro Martinez, Inter should generate enough chances through Thuram and Dimarco to break through.
A tight match would not be surprising. But the historical matchup edge and Atalanta’s recent defensive issues point toward another Inter win at San Siro.