AC Milan vs. Inter Milan Odds and Prediction: Derby della Madonnina Betting Preview
Inter are cruising to their 21st Scudetto and are 10 points clear of rivals Milan going into Sunday’s match. Despite a horrifying elimination by Norwegian side Bodo Glimt in the Champions League, the Nerrazzurri have been unstoppable in Serie A.
They are unbeaten in 15, winning 14 of those matches, including eight straight. Only a 2-2 draw with reigning champions Napoli scuffs that mark. The last side to stop them? That would be Milan, who received a 54th-minute winner from American Christian Pulisic in a 1-0 triumph in November.
A victory on Sunday may not dramatically boost Milan’s title hopes, but it will extend their run of six unbeaten over Inter. It’s been nearly two years since the Nerrazzuri have tasted victory in the Milan Derby.
AC Milan vs. Inter Milan Odds and Betting Trends
Inter are 9-0-1 in their last 10 Serie A matches, while Milan are 5-1-4 over that same stretch. The Rossoneri own a 4-0-2 record against Inter in the last six meetings. The Nerrazzuri have not won since April 2024.
The teams have combined to score 16 goals over the last six meetings, averaging 2.67 goals per match.
Both sides have conceded seven goals in 11 matches since the start of January. The difference is on the offensive end, where Milan have tallied 16 goals in those 11 matches – averaging 1.45 per match – while Inter have tallied 29 goals over the same stretch at 2.64 per match.
AC Milan
The Rossoneri’s record against the bottom half of the league’s table may ultimately undermine their hopes of a 20th Scudetto.
Away draws with Roma and Como are acceptable, but a defeat at the San Siro to 12th-place Parma and draws with relegation-threatened Genoa and Fiorentina since the start of the year have cost the club seven critical points.
Instead of first place being on the line on Sunday, it’s just rival pride at this time for Milan.
Pulisic is nicked up and may not go on Sunday, but he did start in last week’s 2-0 victory over Cremonese. He has eight league goals. The team’s leader, Rafael Leao (nine), scored against Cremonese and is set to go on Sunday.
Christopher Nkunku (five Serie A goals) is ready to go in Pulisic’s place if need be.
Inter Milan
The Nerrazzurri are without league scoring leader Lautaro Martinez, who has 14 goals and also led Inter in scoring during its 2023/24 Scudetto campaign. He is still out with a calf injury.
Ignore the club’s scoreless first leg draw in the Coppa Italia semifinals midweek against Como. The club were sitting several starters in anticipation of this derby.
Inter beat Genoa 2-0 last week. Federico Dimarco, who leads Serie A with 14 assists, scored his seventh goal in the 31st minute, while Hakan Calhanoglu recorded his ninth on a penalty in the 70th minute. Both are available on Sunday.
Serie A Prediction: Who Will Win AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
This is the one. This is where Inter end their recent winless skid against their hated rivals and begin their Scudetto-clinching run.
San Siro has not been Milan’s usual fortress, as both league losses have taken place at home. Look for it to be witness to a third defeat on Sunday, with Inter taking a 2-1 result.