Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC MLS Betting Odds, Prediction

The MLS leaders of Nashville are back again with just eight regular season games left as they take on Toronto FC in a late Saturday night Eastern Conference matchup.

The frontrunners surely won’t let up on the gas as they seek their 60th point, and it’ll all come down to just how desperately Toronto wants to upset their opponent and potentially set themselves up for a playoff spot. You can catch Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC at Geodis Park tomorrow at 8:30 pm ET.

Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC MLS Odds and Betting Trends

The two eastern teams meet for the 13th time in all competitions, with Nashville earning six total victories to Toronto’s three. However, Toronto won the last matchup against the Boys in Gold just under three weeks ago (Sep. 9) in a 2-1 result that dished out Nashville’s third loss of the season. Only three draws have occurred in this fixture, with three of the last five confrontations concluding with a 2-1 scoreline.

While Toronto shocked MLS fans with a major upset victory over Nashville earlier in the month, the Boys in Gold are the -240 home favourites on the MLS odds board, as the Canadians enter at a price line of +500 on the moneyline. While a draw comes in at +380, the two sides haven’t done so since 2023. This weekend’s over 3.5 sits at +120, with an under 3.5 goals much more likely at -168, although goals are sure to come, considering only one game in history between the two sides finished scoreless.

Nashville SC

Last year’s sixth-place Eastern Conference contenders are having a remarkable season this year as they push forward as the most likely Supporters’ Shield winners this year as they sit far above Miami and Vancouver with 57 points and 17 wins.

The Boys in Gold snatched back a crucial point on September 12 from a late 2-2 draw at Miami due to a clutch Sam Surridge goal in the 90+1′ before heading back home for a crushing 3-0 shutout win over Chicago. Sam Surridge opened the floodgates in the 33′, before both Cristian Espinoza and Hany Mukhtar netted second-half goals for insurance.

Both Surridge (16 goals) and Mukhtar (11 goals, seven assists) have been on an absolute tear in recent games. Surridge enters on a two-game scoring streak, priced to hit the back of the net anytime at -160, while his goal-hungry teammate finds himself at +115 after scoring in the previous game as well.

Toronto FC

Toronto already has more goals than they did by the end of last year’s regular season (39), as they pulled off an astonishing upset against their now-opponents earlier in the month from Emilio Aristizabal’s 90+3′ game-winner. However, home field definitely played a major role for the Reds here.

Unfortunately, Toronto’s victory was short-lived, as the side lost their two most recent away games 3-0 to Orlando City and 3-1 to St. Louis SC. Theo Corbeanu nabbed the only consolation goal late in the 90+7′, as the Reds now head to their third straight away game against the revenge-seeking league leaders with six goals allowed in two games.

Forward Josh Sargent (seven goals) hasn’t scored since his hattrick against Chicago Fire on September 5, although he’ll be the team’s most likely scorer in this one at +250, followed by teammate Daniel Salloi and his seven season goals at +340.

MLS Prediction: Who Will Win Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC?

There are two major advantages here for Nashville: one being their offensive prowess (53 goals), the other being their defensive composure, as the Boys in Gold rep the lowest goals-allowed count (21) in the MLS. Despite the recent blunders (two draws, one loss) in the last four games, Nashville has scored 23 goals in their last 10 games in all competitions.

Toronto FC may have been the most recent team to hand Nashville a loss this MLS season, but they were riding high on energy while being completely outpossessed (43%) and outpassed. In their last five straight games, the Reds have allowed 12 goals.

Even with Toronto showcasing brilliant results against big teams (4-4 against Chicago, 2-1 over Miami), their luck will only last so long, as the 11th-place side now faces a championship-bound side on their home turf. With how Surridge, Mukhtar, and Espinoza are linking up, Nashville will surely secure the 2-0 win here.