Germany vs. Paraguay Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
Germany and Paraguay meet in a Round of 32 knockout match at Boston Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Monday at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side topped Group E with six points after a 7-1 thrashing of Curaçao and a 2-1 win over the Ivory Coast, before stumbling to a 2-1 defeat against Ecuador. Paraguay enter as underdogs but are no pushovers; Gustavo Alfaro’s side snuck through as one of the tournament’s best third-placed teams on four points, having beaten Turkey 1-0 and drawn 0-0 with Australia after losing their opener 4-1 to the United States.
The two nations last met in the 2002 World Cup Round of 16, so this won’t be their first rodeo.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Germany vs. Paraguay FIFA World Cup: How to Watch and Match Info
- Time: Monday, June 29, at 4:30 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Boston Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
- TV: TSN, TSN+
- Weather: 27.8°C, sunny to partly cloudy
Germany vs. Paraguay Betting Odds
Germany are heavy favourites and carry -250 odds on the 90-minute moneyline, with Paraguay available at +700 and the draw sitting at +370. The Germans are huge -650 to advance to the Round of 16, while Paraguay carries a +430 price.
Germany vs. Paraguay Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Germany Predicted Starting XI: 4-2-3-1
Neuer
Kimmich | Tah | Rüdiger | Brown
Nmecha | Pavlovic
Sané | Musiala | Wirtz
Havertz
Paraguay Predicted Starting XI: 4-4-2
Gill
Caceres | G. Gomez | Alderete | Alonso
Almirón | Cubas | D. Gomez | Galarza
Enciso | Sanabria
Germany FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Germany’s group stage was a tale of two performances. Nagelsmann’s side looked imperious in their opener, putting seven past Curaçao in Houston, with Kai Havertz netting twice and super-sub Deniz Undav adding two more off the bench before a 2-1 win over the Ivory Coast. But the Ecuador defeat raised genuine questions; Germany were second-best for long stretches and were punished in the closing stages. What isn’t in doubt is the attacking quality.
Jamal Musiala has been improving steadily after his long injury layoff, Florian Wirtz continues to create at will, and 40-year-old Manuel Neuer, back from international retirement, has been assured in goal. Nico Schlotterbeck’s tournament-ending MCL injury leaves Antonio Rüdiger as the expected partner for Jonathan Tah in the back.
Paraguay FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Paraguay’s group stage perfectly illustrated what Alfaro has built: compact, disciplined, and dangerous on the counter. The 4-1 opening loss to the United States was misleading; three goals came in a chaotic final 20 minutes against a host-nation crowd in Los Angeles. From there, La Albirroja locked in, shutting out Turkey 1-0 through a Diego Gomez goal and holding Australia goalless in Santa Clara.
Captain Gustavo Gomez anchors a back line that conceded just ten goals across 18 World Cup qualifiers, Miguel Almirón provides creative energy from midfield, and Julio Enciso remains the wild card capable of picking any lock on his day.
Germany vs. Paraguay Player Odds and Props
- Florian Wirtz (GER) to Score (+185): Paraguay’s compact 4-4-2 invites teams to try their luck from distance, and Wirtz’s shooting from outside the box has consistently threatened keepers this tournament, and he’s due for a goal.
- Kai Havertz to Score (+125): The Arsenal striker already has two goals through three matches and will continue to be Germany’s main threat up top.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
Germany have +1500 odds to win the World Cup and would face a potential Round of 16 tie against the winner of France vs. Sweden if they advance. Paraguay are among the longest-priced survivors (500-1) in the bracket and are not expected to go deep. However, the expanded format has been kind to Paraguay so far; the question is whether it can remain so against one of Europe’s heavyweights.
Germany vs. Paraguay Score Prediction
Best bet: Germany and Over 2.5 Goals (+105)
Germany have the quality to win this comfortably, but they haven’t yet shown the defensive solidity to keep a clean sheet against a team with a coherent counter-attacking game plan. Alfaro will set up to frustrate and absorb, and Enciso or Almirón getting in behind the German back line at least once feels probable. Nagelsmann’s attacking depth should ultimately be the difference, but La Albirroja will not go quietly.