2022 Tour de France: Cycling Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 29, 2022

The premier event on the cycling calendar returns on Friday as the 2022 Tour de France kicks off in Copenhagen, Denmark.

The 109th edition of La Grande Boucle will run 21 gruelling stages starting on Canada Day in Denmark and will also pass through France, Belgium and Switzerland before finishing on the historic Champs-Elysees avenue in Paris on July 24.

Sports Interaction is previewing the top race favourites as well as Canadian riders to watch.  Make sure to check out Sports Interaction for complete Tour de France odds.

2022 Tour de France Favourites

Tour De France

  • Tadej Pogacar -176
  • Primoz Roglic +356
  • Jonas Vingegaard +381
  • Daniel Martinez +1800
  • Alexander Vlasov +1900
  • Geraint Thomas +2500
  • Enric Mas Nicolau +4100
  • Ben OConnor +4100
  • Adam Yates +4100
  • Egan Bernal +5100
  • Jakob Fuglsang +5100
  • Jack Haig +6800
  • Wout Van Aert +6800
  • Miguel Angel Lopez +10300
  • Mikel Landa +10300
  • Nairo Quintana +12800
  • Alexey Lutsenko +12800
  • Sepp Kuss +15500
  • Damiano Caruso +15500
  • Johan Esteban Chaves +15500
  • Romain Bardet +15500
  • Rigoberto Uran +20800
  • David Gaudu +20800
  • Simon Yates +20800
  • Tao Geoghegan Hart +20800
  • Thibaut Pinot +25600
  • Chris Froome +25600
  • Julian Alaphilippe +25600
  • Michael Storer +30900
  • Tom Pidcock +30900
  • Gino Mader +30900
  • Michael Woods +37000
  • Steven Kruijswijk +41700
  • Pavel Sivakov +41700
  • Mark Padun +41700
  • Louis Meintjes +41700
  • Maximilian Schachmann +41700
  • Ethan Hayter +41700
  • Vincenzo Nibali +41700
  • Rohan Dennis +52600
  • Guillaume Martin +52600
  • Mattia Cattaneo +52600
  • Filippo Ganna +56600
  • Rafal Majka +63800
  • Lucas Plapp +63800
  • Brandon McNulty +63800
  • Matthieu Van Der Poel +63800
  • Giulio Ciccone +63800
  • George Bennett +63800
  • Ion Izagirre +63800
  • Clement Champoussin +63800
  • Wouter Poels +75000
  • Patrick Konrad +75000
  • Pierre Latour +75000
  • Lennard Kamna +75000
  • Marc Soler +75000
  • Warren Barguil +75000
  • Andreas Leknessund +75000
  • Tobias Foss +75000
  • Marc Hirschi +100000
  • Laurens De Plus +100000
  • Fausto Masnada +100000
  • Matteo Jorgenson +100000
  • Matej Mohoric +100000
  • Eddie Dunbar +100000
  • Tiesj Benoot +100000
  • Bob Jungels +100000
  • Davide Formolo +100000
  • Ilan Van Wilder +100000
  • Stephen Williams +100000
  • Felix Grossschartner +100000
  • Aurelien Paret-Peintre +100000
  • Antwan Tolhoek +100000
  • Pierre Rolland +150000
  • Cian Uijtdebroeks +150000
  • Matteo Fabbro +150000
  • Franck Bonnamour +150000
  • Simon Carr +150000
  • Gianni Moscon +150000
  • Quinn Simmons +150000
  • Mark Donovan +150000
  • Harm Vanhoucke +150000
  • Kasper Asgreen +150000
  • Jan Polanc +150000
  • Magnus Cort Nielsen +250000
  • Sergio Samitier +250000
  • Matteo Sobrero +250000
  • Marco Brenner +250000
  • Thomas De Gendt +250000
  • Antonio Pedrero +250000
  • Henri Vandenabeele +250000
  • Finn Fisher-Black +250000
  • Andrea Bagioli +250000
  • Sam Bennett +310300
  • Vadim Pronskiy +450000
  • Miguel Eduardo Florez +450000
  • Anton Palzer +450000
  • Asbjorn Hellemose +450000
Show More Odds

Tadej Pogacar

Tadej Pogacar, the 23-year-old Slovenian rider from UAE Team Emirates, is an easy favourite as he looks become just the ninth three-time Tour de France winner and first to win three in a row since England’s Chris Froome between 2015 and 2017.  He’s already competed in three stage races this year (UAE Tour, Tirreno-Adriatico and the Tour of Slovenia), winning all three, so he’s entering the Tour de France in prime form.

Pogacar thrives on his superior climbing ability and he’s competitive against the clock.  When it’s neccassary, he’ll go on the attack and he’s a great sprinter who can pick up crucial overall seconds against other riders, even when he doesn’t win stages.  Pogacar has a great team around him, so if he rides to his capability and stays out of trouble, it will be tough to dethrone him.

Primoz Roglic

The 32-year-old Primoz Roglic, another Slovenian, leads Team Jumbo-Visma, the biggest threat to UAE Team Emirates.  Roglic has won the Vuelta a Espana three times and finished second behind fellow countryman Pogacar in the 2020 edition of the Tour de France.  He’s also tasted victory this year, winning Paris-Nice and the Criterium du Dauphine, so he should be a major contender in the Tour de France.

Roglic’s speciality is flatter stretches and he actually won Slovenia’s first olympic cycling gold medal in the time trial at the Tokyo Olympics last summer.  That gold medal followed up a disappointing 2021 Tour de France that saw Roglic crash on Stage 3 and never really regain any momentum before exiting the race after Stage 8.  Outside of another crash, however, Roglic should compete for the podium in this year’s Tour de France.

Jonas Vinegaard

Jonas Vinegaard is the 25-year-old Daniash teammate of Roglic.  Vinegaard stepped up for Team Jumbo-Visma after Roglic’s exit at the Tour de France last year, ultimately finishing second on the podium behind Pogacar.  He finished second at Dauphine this year and arguably looked stronger uphill than Roglic.  Vinegaard also finished second at Tirreno and looked more than capable of challenging Pogacar.

The Dane’s strong suit is climbing, which is clearly advantageous in an event as mountainous as the Tour de France.  Vinegaard and Roglic have a capable team around them, although overall, UAE Team Emirates is probably a touch ahead of them, so how Team Jumbo-Visma elects to use its resources will be a major determining factor on where Vinegaard finishes.

Canadians Riders

Canadian Cycling Contenders [Max Bet $25]

(Boosted from 3.75)
  • Any Canadian to finish in the Top 10 at the 2022 Tour De France +700

Michael Woods

Michael Woods, the 35-year-old from East York, Ontario, rides for Israel-Premier Tech.  He’s probably Canada’s best shot at a top-10 overall finish, although it remains to be seen if he’ll focus on individual stages instead.  Woods just won the Route d’Occitanie in June with an uphill stage win, which could be a good sign leading into the Tour de France.

Woods is an experienced rider who placed 32nd in the 2019 Tour de France, but he did not finish the 2021 edition.  He’s an experienced cyclist, with his best result in a Grand Tour coming in 2017 as the seventh-place rider at the Vuelta a Espana.  The DNF result at last year’s Tour de France is a little concerning, but his recent success leading into this year’s event gives him a solid upside.

Antoine Duchesne

Antoine Duchesne is a 30-year-old member of French team Groupama-FDJ.  Hailing from Saguenay, Quebec, Duchesne has only competed in the Tour de France once, finishing 107th in 2016 as part of Team Europcar.  He’s only competed in four total Grand Tour events, with his most recent entry being  a 115th place finish at the Giro d’Italia last year.  Duchesne won the Canadian National Road Race championship in 2021 and finished second this year.

Hugo Houle

A 31-year-old native of Sainte-Perpetue, Quebec, Hugo Houle is Israel-Premier Tech teammates with fellow Canadian Woods.  Houle competed in the last three Tour de France races as part of the Astana team, finishing 91st in 2019, 47th in 2020 and 66th in 2021.  He only recently signed a three-year contract with Israel-Premier Tech, so he’ll be looking to make an impression on the world’s biggest cycling stage, although it’s pretty tough to see him as a serious threat overall.

2022 Tour de France Prediction

Tadej Pogacar for a third consecutive Tour de France win.

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