Panthers vs. Oilers Game 6 Prediction: Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 21, 2024

NHL: Stanley Cup Final-Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

After back-to-back four-point performances, Connor McDavid is the new Conn Smythe favourite ahead of Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final.

Florida
52-24-4-2
AT
June 21, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Edmonton
49-27-5-1
Puckline +1.5 -250
Moneyline +100
Over / Under o +5.5

31%

Betting Action

69%

Puckline -1.5 +200
Moneyline -120
Over / Under u +5.5

31%

Betting Action

69%

After a 5-3 Oilers victory in Game 5, the momentum of this series has completely shifted as Edmonton and Florida travel back to Alberta for Game 6 on Friday night. The series looked all but done when the Panthers took a 3-0 lead, but the Oilers have battled back as they look to become just the second team ever to win the Stanley Cup after trailing 3-0 in the Final.

Edmonton opened as a slim -120 favourite to win Game 6 on the NHL odds, while the total is pegged at 5.5.

Panthers vs. Oilers NHL Betting Odds

The Oilers are looking to make history. Only four teams in NHL history have ever trailed 3-0 in a playoff series and come back to win and the only time it has happened in the Stanley Cup Final was the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs over the Detroit Red Wings.

Want even more belief in Edmonton? Since head coach Kris Knoblauch took over, the Oilers have had three separate three-game losing streaks. They followed those losses up with an eight-game win streak, a 16-game win streak and a five-game win streak. Just saying.

The series line has taken a massive turn over the last couple of games. The Panthers are now -300 to win the Stanley Cup, with Edmonton at +240. That’s a massive contrast to where these teams were heading into Game 4 when Florida was -3000 and the Oilers were +1300.

Another significant shift on the NHL futures board is the Conn Smythe race. Sergei Bobrovsky was a heavy -500 favourite after the first three games, but he’s nearly fallen out of contention at +900. Connor McDavid has made the biggest stride as a -250 favourite to win the Conn Smythe and he’ll likely get votes whether or not Edmonton wins the Stanley Cup.

For what it’s worth, five players in NHL history have won the Conn Smythe Trophy as a member of the losing team in the Stanley Cup Final: Roger Crozier (1966), Glenn Hall (1968), Reggie Leach (1976), Ron Hextall (1987) and J.S. Giguere (2003). One note about that list, of those five players, Leach is the only non-goalie.

Florida Panthers

It has to be starting to feel hot in Florida after blowing two chances to win the Stanley Cup. It started out bad for the Panthers in Game 5 and it didn’t get much better. Florida allowed a shorthanded goal to open the scoring for the second straight game and they trailed 3-0 by the five-minute mark of the second period. Matthew Tkachuk, Evan Rodrigues and Oliver Ekman-Larsson scored the Panthers’ goals, but the power play is a major concern at the moment. Besides allowing two short-handed goals in the series, Florida is just 1-for-16 on the man advantage.

Another concern is obviously Bobrovsky, who has proven to be a streaky goalie in his career. Bobrovsky has allowed nine goals on 30 shots over the last two games, which is a .700 save percentage. Still, there’s reason to be hopeful if you’re the Panthers. In Bobrosvky, you’re still talking about a goalie with a 2.35 GAA and .907 SV in the playoffs. There’s also been solid depth scoring, particualrly Rodrigues, who has scored four of his seven playoff goals in the Stanley Cup Final. Florida still have two chances to lift the Cup, so there’s no need to panic yet, but if they don’t close the series out on Friday, keep in mind that Game 7s are generally a complete coin flip.

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Edmonton Oilers

Let’s get the formalities out of the way: Evan Bouchard had three assists in Game 5, while Connor Brown, Zach Hyman and Corey Perry scored, and Stuart Skinner made 29 saves. OK, on to the real story, McDavid. With back-to-back four-point performances (two goals in Game 5), McDavid is up to 42 points (8G, 34A) in the playoffs, 10 more than the next closest player. To put McDavid’s performance in context, consider the fact that he has the fourth-most points in a single postseason in NHL history, with only Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux scoring more. The record, 47 points, set by Gretzky in 1985, is well within reach, especially if the series goes seven games.

It will be hard, but I’ll try to talk about someone other than McDavid. One player who has become a breakout star these playoffs is Bouchard, who is second in postseason scoring with 32 points (6G, 26A). His 26 assists is an NHL postseason record among defencemen, surpassing current Oilers assistant coach Paul Coffey’s record of 25. Bouchard has the third-most points by a defenceman in a single postseason and he leads all Edmonton skaters with a plus-11 rating.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Panthers vs. Oilers Game 6?

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