Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 22, 2021

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The Leafs and Flames come into this game on opposite trajectories. Calgary has lost three straight games, while Toronto has won three straight.

February 22, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 -175
Moneyline +140
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +146
Moneyline -165
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


The Flames and Leafs open a two-game set in Toronto on Monday.  Toronto already swept a two-game series in Calgary earlier this season and they’ll be looking for another four points in this series.

The Leafs are -190 favourites to win on the NHL odds with a total of 6.5.

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

Despite these teams being separated by a large gap in the standings, the two games they have played this season have been decided by just a goal.  Toronto picked up a 3-2 win and a 4-3 win in Calgary, back in January.  Mitch Marner had a goal and three assists over the two games, while Auston Matthews buried two goals and one assist.

Calgary has struggled against the Leafs.  They have lost six of their last nine games against Toronto with the Under hitting in eight of those games.  The Flames are 7-11 against the spread overall this season.  They have covered five times at home, but just twice on the road.

The Leafs have been cruising through teams all year.  Toronto has won six of their last eight home games and eight of 11 home games overall.  The Leafs are 8-11 ATS, covering six times at home and twice on the road.

Calgary Flames

Things have gone off the rails for the Flames lately, and after three straight losses, they find themselves being leapfrogged by Vancouver in the standings.  Calgary’s most recent loss was a brutal 7-1 beatdown against Edmonton on Saturday.  The bizarre part of the game is, the Flames actually outshot the Oilers 44-24, but Andrew Mangiapane was the only Calgary player able to find the back of the net.  Goalie Jacob Markstrom was pulled after allowing five goals on 15 shots.  It was the second straight game Markstrom has allowed five goals.  Despite the rough outing on Saturday, Markstrom actually has better numbers than Toronto’s Frederik Andersen.  Markstrom is 8-6-1 with a 2.87 goals-against average and a .909 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs are coming into this game on an opposite trajectory to Calgary.  Toronto has won three straight games, including a 5-3 win over Montreal on Saturday.  Matthews scored four points (2G, 2A) for the second game in a row.  Marner had three points (1G, 2A) and is now second in league scoring with 30 points (9G, 21A).  Matthews tops the league with 18 goals in 18 games.  The Toronto sniper now has a point in 16 straight games and 13 active games (if you miss games with injury the NHL counts point streaks from when you return).  Matthews is looking to score the first goal for a fifth straight game on Monday, which would be an NHL record.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Flames vs. Maple Leafs?