Colorado Avalanche vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 3 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 03, 2022

Trailing 2-0 in the series, can the Edmonton Oilers regroup and strike back when they host the Colorado Avalanche for Game 3 of the Western Conference Final on Saturday?

Colorado
56-19-5-2
AT
June 04, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Edmonton
49-27-5-1
Puckline -1.5 +204
Moneyline -111
Over / Under o +7

28%

Betting Action

72%

Puckline +1.5 -245
Moneyline -109
Over / Under u +7

28%

Betting Action

72%

You have to think the Oilers are really taking to heart the mantra of ‘the series isn’t over until you lose at home’ as they return to Edmonton for Game 3 of the Western Conference Final, trailing the Colorado Avalanche two games to none.  After a wild shooting gallery in Game 1, the Avalanche were able to lock things down defensively in Game 2 on Thursday, downing Edmonton 4-0.

Colorado is a -132 favourite to win Game 3, with a total of 7.0 on the NHL odds.

Avalanche vs. Oilers NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

If there’s one thing the Oilers have going for them in Game 3, it’s the trend in this all-time head-to-head series that has seen the home team win seven of the last eight meetings.  The Over/Under has been fairly back-and-forth between the teams, with the total going Under in three of five meetings this year, dating back to the regular season.

The Avalanche are rolling right now with a perfect 5-0 record on the road in this postseason.  Offensive production has been the biggest key for this team, which has led to the Over hitting in four of their last six games.  Colorado enters Game 3 as a -1000 favourite to win the series.

It’s far from panic time for Edmonton as they return to Rogers Place where they’ve won 17 of their last 20 games.  This is another offensive juggernaut that has hit the Over in five of their last seven games.  The Oilers are currently pegged as +513 series underdogs, but that number will shift dramatically if they can pull off a win in Game 3.

The favoured exact series score remains the Avalanche winning in five games at +192.  The biggest long shot is Edmonton winning in six at +1436.

Colorado Avalanche

Nazem Kadri and Pavel Francouz were the heroes for Colorado in Game 2.  Kadri set up three goals in just over two minutes in the second period, while Francouz made 24 saves for his first career playoff shutout.  Francouz started Game 2 in place of Darcy Kuemper, who is dealing with an undisclosed upper-body injury and is listed as questionable to start Game 3.  It’s not known how serious Kuemper’s injury is, or what the issue even is, but the two-game cushion and strong play of Francouz likely gives the Avalanche a little breathing room to not force Kuemper back in net before he is ready.

Artturi Lehkonen, Josh Manson, Mikko Rantanen and Nathan MacKinnon had the goals for Colorado on Thursday.  Rantanen and MacKinnon also scored in Game 1.  Cale Makar recorded an assist in Game 2 and now leads the team with 17 playoff points (4G, 13A).  Makar has points in nine of 12 games in this postseason.  The Avalanche would likely be happy with a split in Edmonton in Games 3 and 4 to give them a chance to clinch the series at home in Game 5.  Colorado has been absolutely dominant at home over the last two years, going 57-8-5 in their last 70 games at Ball Arena.

Edmonton Oilers

After a tight first period in Game 2, the Oilers didn’t generate many scoring chances the rest of the way and ended up being outshot 40-24.  Mike Smith made 36 saves but didn’t get any help on offence.  Edmonton was blanked after scoring 31 goals across their six previous outings.  They failed to convert on two power-play opportunities.  Connor McDavid finished with just two shots on net and was minus-1.  Leon Draisaitl, who had three shots, was also minus-1.  McDavid leads the playoffs with 29 points (8G, 21A), while Draisaitl is second with 28 (7G, 21A).

The big question for Edmonton in Game 3 will be what to do with McDavid and Draisaitl.  Head coach Jay Woodcroft split the superstar duo up in Game 2 in hopes of spreading out the offence, but clearly the plan backfired.  Prior to Thursday, McDavid and Draisaitl had played on the same line since the first round of the playoffs.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Oilers?

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