The Tennessee Titans are rolling following back-to-back wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars and Seattle Seahawks. While they’re in first place in the AFC South at 2-1 and the Houston Texas are in last at 1-2, everything can change in a blink. Can the Texans put it together and turn back the upstart Titans?
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
Point Spread: Tennessee -2 Date: Sunday October 1st, 2017 Location: NRG Stadium – Houston, Texas
Point Spread And Betting Analysis
The Titans opened up at -1.5 on the NFL odds board but the line is up to -2 now. About 62 percent of the early bets were on Houston, though. Both teams are 2-1 against the spread heading in to Week 4.
The Texans have been a home dog of three or less four times in the last three seasons and they are both 1-3 ATS and straight up in those games.
Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee offense wore down the Seattle defense in their 33-27 win on Sunday. The Titans controlled the football for almost 20 minutes in the first half but were limited to three field goals. The offense came alive in the second half when they scored 24 points. Mariota completed 17-of-22 passes and threw for two touchdowns over the final three frames. Tennessee remained committed to its run game and it paid off with DeMarco Murray rushing for 115 yards and a touchdown. There is a good chance that the Titans will continue to try to pound the football in an effort to wear down the Houston front-seven this week. Houston is known as a defensive team but they’ve given up 29 points or more in two of their three games so far. The Texans run defense is a pedestrian 17th. If the Titans can run, they’ll have a great shot to win.
So which Houston Texans are we to expect this week? The one that couldn’t stop turning the ball over and was embarrassed at home in Week 1? The one that played ugly but still eked out a win in Week 2? Or the team that looked phenomenal and nearly – and probably should have – beat the Super Bowl champs in New England in Week 3?
It’s hard to gauge what the Texans will do on offense as rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson has been inconsistent. Last week was his best effort. If he can carry that over to this week while protecting the football, the Texans should be able to get a much-needed win and get back on top of the AFC South. But if the Texans team that turned it over four times in Week 1 shows up or the one that managed a paltry 268 yards of offense in Week 2 or the one that gave up five touchdowns to Tom Brady last week, then they’re in trouble.
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans prediction:
Houston 20, Tennessee 17