The Tennessee Titans return home this week to face the AFC South rival Houston Texans.
The Tennessee Titans know they’re probably fortunate to share the AFC South lead despite having a negative point differential. They’ll look to fix that wonky number – and separate themselves from the Jacksonville Jaguars – as they host the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon. The Titans’ minus-27 differential has made them a tough team to handicap; the Texans are three games worse in the standings but are minus-2 for the season.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
Point spread: Titans -6.5 Date: Sunday, December 2, 1 p.m. ET Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tenn.
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Titans are giving away nearly a touchdown, and recent trends suggest that the Texans are a strong play at this number. They’ve covered in seven of the previous eight meetings overall, and five of their last six encounters at Nissan Stadium. Houston has also gone 4-1 O/U in its previous five road games, while Tennessee has covered just nine times in its last 35 home games overall – including a 2-2-1 O/U mark at home so far this season.
Nearly 60 percent of Sports Interaction wagerers like the Texans and the points in this one, while two-thirds are rolling with the under on the 43-point total. Subpar quarterback play on both sides isn’t exactly instilling confidence that this one will be a high-scoring affair, but trends suggest the over play might still be a good one. Houston is 9-2 O/U in its last 11 after a successful cover, while Tennessee has gone over in each of its last four home games.
The Texans face a short turnaround after letting a winnable game get away from them in a 23-16 Monday night loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Head coach Bill O’Brien said afterward that quarterback Tom Savage probably should have targeted star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins more – and that might not be a bad idea in this one. In addition to ranking fourth in the NFL in receiving yards, Hopkins has drawn a league-leading 10 defensive pass interference flags.
The Titans have had little margin for error, with each of their last four victories coming by no more than four points. And if they want a little more breathing room moving forward, they’ll need to get a much better performance from Marcus Mariota. The third-year quarterback has been positively dreadful, throwing just nine touchdown passes against 12 interceptions – with six of those picks coming in the past two games alone.
Texans vs. Titans Prediction
Texans 20, Titans 16