Texans vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction
At 7-3 Miami’s been one of the league’s offensive powers this season, while a 1-8-1 Houston club is struggling to reach over 17 points a game.
The Dolphins are coming off their bye week but have scored 31 or more in their last three outings including a 39-17 rout over Cleveland the last time they hit the field. Houston’s suffered three straight losses to the NFC East, with a 23-10 defeat to Washington the Texans’ latest fate.
Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium goes at 1 p.m. EDT, and the Dolphins are nearly a two-touchdown favourite at -13 on the point spread and the over-under at 46 on the NFL odds.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Upset bettors will love this one: Houston’s 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with Miami. Of course the Dolphins are a much different, and much better, club but it’s still encouraging for a Texans team that’s winless when their opponent scores over six points.
The Texans have at least covered in four of their last six with the Dolphins too, and Miami is 2-5 ATS over their last seven overall. The Dolphins have been a dominant home team though with victories in 10 of their last 11 home contests overall. Miami’s surrendered 20 points in just one of four home outings this season, which is bad news for a bottom-three offence in Houston.
Houston Texans
The Texans are making a quarterback change this weekend as Kyle Allen replaces second-year pivot Davis Mills. Allen’s in his fourth NFL season and has 4,318 passing yards and 24 touchdowns in 21 games played. He last played significant time with Carolina in the 2019 season. Mills was averaging 214 yards per game along and had an even 11:11 touchdown to interception ratio.
Houston had a season-low 148 yards of offence in last week’s loss to Washington, including 21 rushing yards on 16 carries. Rookie Dameon Pierce remains seventh in the NFL with 780 rushing yards, despite an eight-yard performance Sunday. The Dolphins have also allowed 148.7 rushing yards a game over their last three outings, so perhaps something for Houston to exploit.
Miami Dolphins
Miami nearly put up another 500 yards of offence in their last outing, but did so in a different manner. Jeff Wilson Jr.’s 119 rushing yards made his performance the second 100-yard rushing game for Miami this season, who as a team ran for a season-high 195 yards on 33 carries.
Tua Tagovailoa still passed for 285 yards and three scores in the win with Alec Ingold, Trent Sherfield, and Tyreek Hill all finding the end zone. Hill’s 1,148 receiving yards through 10 games still leads the NFL, and teammate Jaylen Waddle is fifth with 878. As a result, Miami is only second to Kansas City this season with 293.8 passing yards per showing.
HOU
MIA