The Indianapolis Colts’ ground game has come under heavy scrutiny this year. The unit ranked dead last in average rush yards per game (80.9) and only accumulated 1,294 total yards on the year — not exactly the type of production you’d expect from such a high-powered offense.
Despite this, Colts RB Joseph Addai will be a key figure in Super Bowl XLIV and relevant NFL betting. While his regular season was nothing to write home about — although his 828 yards were offset by the fact he scored an impressive 10 rushing TDs — Addai was most impressive in the AFC Championship against the top-ranked Jets run defense. Addai carried 16 times for 80 yards, a solid 5.0 yards-per-carry average that paced Indianapolis to a 30-17 win.
So, what to expect from Addai this Sunday? At the Sports Interaction online sportsbook, the number for Addai is 65.5 yards — the Over is 1.80 while the under is 1.86. Let’s take a look at some of the key points in analyzing this type of NFL betting:
— Addai was one of the few starting RBs in the NFL that failed to register a 100-yard game this season. His best day was probably a 21-carry, 79-yard, two-touchdown effort against Tennessee back in Week 13; Addai didn’t rip off any long runs (his biggest on the day was an 11-yarder) but his steady, consistent production was key in the 27-17 victory.
— The 65.5 number is one Addai flirted with for most of the season. He eclipsed that total in just four of his regular season contests, but a few others (63 against Arizona, 64 against St. Louis, 62 against San Fran, 63 against Houston) were very close to the magical number. The big reason for this is a general lack of touches; Addai rarely hits the 20+ carry mark, usually getting the ball around 15-17 times a game.
— The Saints have a good, but not great, run defense. They allowed an average of 122.2 yards per game this season, the 12th most in the NFL. In the NFC Championship against Minnesota, Adrian Peterson had a huge day on the ground, chugging for 122 yards on 25 carries, finding the end zone three times. The entire New Orleans defense is built on speed and ballhawking, not size and run-stuffing.
If you’d like to check out this type of NFL betting and other Super Bowl XLIV props, visit Sports Interaction’s online sportsbook today!