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Super Bowl 60 Seahawks vs. Patriots Odds: Top Total Predictions

The NFL season comes to an end from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday evening as the AFC champion New England Patriots face the NFC champion Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl 60. We will focus on the total, which is set at 45.5 on the NFL odds.

Make sure to check out Sports Interaction’s Super Bowl odds and our printable part props sheet for Super Bowl 60.

Super Bowl Total Trends

The NFL has become a much higher-scoring league because the rule changes seem to keep benefitting offences, and it also seems that the vast majority of new head coaches each off-season are offensive-minded guys.

There was no total set in the first Super Bowl and it was set at 43 in SB II, but for the next 13 years the total was set at 40 points or lower. We are probably never going back to that again unless the league somehow schedules an outdoor Super Bowl. Nearly every team that builds a new stadium – except Buffalo – now includes some sort of roof, so we may not see one in the cold again. Next season’s is held in Los Angeles and the following year in Atlanta. Both are covered (or retractable roof).

But Sunday’s game is outdoors, and the weather in the San Francisco area can always be unpredictable. But looks quite nice in Santa Clara on late Sunday afternoon local time with kickoff at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time: Partly cloudy with highs of 67 degrees and slight winds. So weather should not factor.

Starting in the 2017 season, every Super Bowl total had been at least 46.5 with a few well north of 50 points mixed in there, but Sunday’s total of 45.5 is the smallest in the game since the 2015 season when it was 43.5 and Denver beat Carolina, 24-10, in Peyton Manning’s final game. That was the only previous Super Bowl held at Levi’s Stadium.

Rematch of Super Bowl XLIX

The over is 29-28-1 in Super Bowl history and 2-0-1 in the past three. When the Patriots beat the Seahawks, 28-24, in the game following the 2014 season in Arizona, the total was set at 47.5. Both clubs this season have been solid over teams including playoffs with New England at 12-8 to the over and Seattle 11-8.

This marks the only Super Bowl since the 1970 merger in which both clubs ranked in the Top 4 of the NFL in the regular season in scoring offence and scoring defence. Led by QB and likely NFL MVP runner-up Drake Maye, the Pats were second in scoring at 28.8 PPG while the Seahawks were third. But Seattle was No. 1 in scoring defence (17.2 PPG) and New England fourth (18.8 PPG).

Both offences have an Achilles’ heel. For New England, it’s allowing Maye to be sacked. He was among the most-sacked in the regular season and has gone down five times in all three playoff games, often fumbling when so. Maye can become the first QB since Tom Brady in 2001 to win a Super Bowl the season of his first career playoff start. 1. New England is averaging only 18.0 points in these playoffs but allowing 8.7 PPG, the fewest through three playoff games since the 2000 Ravens.

And speaking of fumbles, Seattle QB Sam Darnold had a great season but also led the league in turnovers. But Darnold & Co. have gone three straight games without a turnover and are 10-0 this season with one or fewer including playoffs. Defensively, if you throw out two meetings against the high-powered Rams, the Seahawks haven’t allowed more than 20 points in a game since Week 12.

New England under 20.5 points looks to be a solid play at -130, but we lean the game under.

Score Prediction

Seahawks 24, Patriots 20

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