All odds current as of 10 a.m. ET, Jan.31.
When you have the game’s most prolific offense led by a record-breaking quarterback in the Super Bowl, it’s a can’t-lose situation for the league. Not so much for sportsbooks. It’s always tricky to set a line for a game featuring a top defense against a top offense, but this one is on a completely different level.
Sports Interaction opened this line with the Denver Broncos set as 2-point favorites. That line quickly moved to 2.5, where it stayed through the first part of last week. However, Denver money kept piling up. By Friday, 67 percent of our moneyline Super Bowl bettors were on the Broncos and Denver was seeing strong support on the 2.5 number even with increased juice. At that point, a decision was made to move the line to 3 Thursday afternoon.
“We figured the line was going to be a field goal by the time game day rolled around anyway, so we wanted to get out ahead of the pack with the -3,” a Sports Interaction linesmaker said.
However, that line didn’t hold either. Seahawks bettors flocked to the field-goal line and forced Sports Interaction to move the number back to 2.5 (-115) by Friday morning. It bumped back up to 3 for about 24 hours last weekend but was at 2.5 until Thursday.
That’s when Sports Interaction linemakers brought this pointspread back full circle, dropping the odds to Denver -2. Where it goes from here is anyone’s guess.
The total has been much more stable. After opening at 47.5 it moved once to 48 for less than six hours last week before dropping back to where it started. It held there until dipping to 47 points early Wednesday, Jan. 29. As of Friday morning the total is back to its opening number of 47.5.
Where the action is: We’re seeing 63 percent of our bets coming in on Denver at -135 on the moneyline. The action is basically split on the pointspread while the under is seeing slightly more action than the over.