Steelers vs. Chargers Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 16, 2021

With second-year QB Justin Herbert playing like an MVP candidate, the Chargers looked reborn at the start of the season. Herbert and Los Angeles have since come back down to Earth, however, dropping three of their last four games.

AT
November 21, 2021, 8:20 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
Pointspread +6.5 -110
Moneyline +233
Over / Under o +47.5

42%

Betting Action

58%

Pointspread -6.5 -110
Moneyline -282
Over / Under u +47.5

42%

Betting Action

58%

Important game in the AFC playoff race Sunday night in Week 11 as the Pittsburgh Steelers, who might be down a few very important players, visit the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Chargers are 5.5-point favourites to win on the NFL odds with a total of 47 points.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This writer doesn’t expect either Pittsburgh (AFC North) or Los Angeles (AFC West) to win its respective division but a wild-card spot is very possible for both clubs, so the winner Sunday will have a huge tiebreaker. The Steelers currently hold the top wild-card spot in the AFC but are +174 underdogs to reach the post-season and -227 to miss. The Chargers hold the final wild-card spot and are +160 to play extra football and -200 to miss.

Another thing to keep in mind: Sunday’s game probably will be half Steelers fans. They travel very well regardless and the Chargers really aren’t all that popular yet in their new hometown of Los Angeles; many games have nearly 50 per cent visiting fans. LA is still a Rams town.

The teams last played in 2019 and Pittsburgh won in LA 24-17 – although that was when the Chargers were playing in a small soccer stadium outside Los Angeles because SoFi Stadium was still being built. The quarterbacks that day were Devlin Hodges and Philip Rivers. No idea what Hodges is doing these days – probably selling insurance – but he’s not in the NFL. Rivers is retired.

The road team is 4-0 against the spread in the past four meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers

This spread already has risen a couple of points from its opening because the Steelers could be without quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, Canadian receiver Chase Claypool, superstar linebacker TJ Watt, and Pro Bowl defensive backs Minkah Fitzpatrick and Joe Haden. Big Ben and Claypool missed Sunday’s ugly 16-16 tie against winless Detroit. Roethlisberger was in COVID protocols but there’s optimism he will be cleared for this game, although it’s not a sure thing because he had symptoms (but is vaccinated). Mason Rudolph started in his place and while Roethlisberger isn’t close to what he used to be, he’s still a lot better than Rudolph. Claypool is injured. Fitzpatrick landed on the COVID list Monday so he’s probably going to miss this one. Watt (second in the NFL with 12.5 sacks) and Haden were hurt vs. Detroit. Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in its past eight.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers looked reborn under first-year coach Brandon Staley early in the season as they were winning close games – in recent years, they had been known as a team that figured out ways to lose close games. Second-year QB Justin Herbert was playing like an MVP candidate. However, the Chargers have since lost three of four – two by a TD or less – and Herbert has come back to earth. They were upset 27-20 at home by Minnesota on Sunday. The Vikings, down a handful of players due to COVID/injury, had the ball for just over 36 minutes. LA’s Austin Ekeler, 26, did become the youngest running back in the common draft era (since 1967) to reach 20 career receiving scores. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their past five after a loss.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Steelers vs. Chargers?

SportsInteraction