Saints vs. Vikings Point Spread: NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 09, 2018

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The last of four games in the NFL’s Divisional Round is from the site of Super Bowl LII as the Minnesota Vikings host the New Orleans Saints in Sunday’s NFC matchup.

AT
January 14, 2018, 4:40 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota
13-3
Pointspread +5 -115
Moneyline +165
Over / Under o +47.5

70%

Betting Action

30%

Pointspread -5 -105
Moneyline -195
Over / Under u +47.5

70%

Betting Action

30%

It’s quite possible the winner here could host the NFC Championship Game. That’s because Sports Interaction oddsmakers have the sixth-seeded Atlanta Falcons as favourites at top-seeded Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon because Philly is without Carson Wentz. If the Eagles do lose, then the Falcons would visit the winner of this one. It’s conceivable, then, the Vikings could never leave their own stadium through the Super Bowl. No team has ever played in a Super Bowl in its own building.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Minnesota is the +125 favourite to win the NFC title with Philadelphia at +500. The Vikings are +400 to win the Super Bowl and Eagles +1400. Neither franchise has won the big game. Early betting action on this game has a sizable lean toward the Saints.

In Week 1, the Saints visited the Vikings, who were 3-point favourites and won 29-19. So much has changed since then, however. Minnesota’s QB that Monday night was Sam Bradford, who was a stellar 27 of 32 for 346 yards and three scores. He has played less than one half of football since due to injury and lost his job to Case Keenum. Rookie Dalvin Cook rushed for 127 yards but tore his ACL in Week 4. The Saints’ co-leading rusher was Adrian Peterson, who was traded to the Cardinals in mid-October. New Orleans also didn’t yet know what it had yet in running back Alvin Kamara, who should be named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints (12-5 SU, 9-8 ATS) were 6.5-point favourites last Sunday vs. Carolina and beat the NFC South rival Panthers for a third time this season, this time by a score of 31-26. The reason the 2017 Saints are so much better than the Saints teams of the past few years (7-9 each of previous three years) is this club has a terrific running game behind Kamara and Mark Ingram and relies less on future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees. However, it was like old times vs. the Panthers as New Orleans was held to 41 yards rushing, but Brees threw for 376 yards and two touchdowns. It was his seventh 300-yard game in the playoffs, third-most all-time behind Tom Brady (12) and Peyton Manning (9).

Minnesota Vikings

It’s the fourth time under the current playoff format the Vikings have a first-round bye. They lost in the NFC title game the previous three times. Carolina had a very good defence this season, but Minnesota (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) had the best. That unit was No. 1 in total yards and points allowed (15.5 ppg; first time a Vikings defence led the league in that stat since 1970), tops on third down (only 25.2 per cent conversions), No. 2 against the rush (83.6 rpg) and No. 2 against the pass (192.4 ypg). Keenum, the veteran journeyman, had a storybook season and likely will make plenty of money as a potential free agent. But he has never started a playoff game, while Brees has 12 under his belt.

Saints vs. Vikings Prediction

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