Saints vs. Eagles Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Nov 20, 2021

The New Orleans Saints have a chance to pick up an important win on Sunday when they visit a Philadelphia Eagles team that has dropped all four of their home games this season.

AT
November 21, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +129
Over / Under o +42.5

53%

Betting Action

47%

Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -154
Over / Under u +42.5

53%

Betting Action

47%

We’re headed to the NFC on Sunday, with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the New Orleans Saints.  The Eagles are coming off a 30-13 win in Denver last week, but they’re still struggling to find their first home win of the season.  The Saints’ comeback fell short in their 23-21 Week 10 loss in Tennessee, but they still sit just a game behind Tampa Bay for top spot in the NFC South.

Philadelphia is a 1.5-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 43.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These teams met just once last season, with the Eagles winning 24-21 at home.  Jalen Hurts led Philadelphia with 167 passing yards and a touchdown, while Taysom Hill finished with 291 passing yards, two TDs and an interception for the Saints.  Sports Interaction bettors are split perfectly down the middle for which team to take in this matchup.  The total is another story, as about 90 per cent of action is taking the Over.

New Orleans has had success against the Eagles over the last few years, winning five of the last seven matchups.  They’ve often failed to cover in those games, however, going 5-10 against the spread in their last 15 against Philly.  The Saints are 5-4 ATS for the season.  The total has gone Over in five of New Orleans’ last six games overall this year.

The key stat to look at here is clearly the Eagles’ concerning 0-4 record at home this year.  They were 3-4-1 at Lincoln Financial Field last season.  Looking back at this year, Philadelphia is an even 5-5 ATS, but they’ve only covered in one of four home games.  The total has gone Under in four of the Eagles’ last five home games against New Orleans.

New Orleans Saints

After back-to-back two-point losses, the Saints really need to pull out a win this week.  The main concern right now is the health of running back Alvin Kamara, who missed last week’s game with a knee injury.  It was a big loss for New Orleans, as Kamara is a dual threat on the ground and in the air.  He is the team’s leading rusher with 530 yards and three touchdowns on 146 carries.  Kamara has added another 310 receiving yards and four TDs.  The good news is, Kamara has practiced this week and will likely play on Sunday.  Trevor Siemian has looked good under centre since taking over after Jameis Winston‘s season-ending knee injury.  In two games as the starter, Siemian has thrown four touchdowns and no interceptions, averaging about 275 yards per game.

Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts has been a big reason why Philadelphia’s ground game has continued performing well since the loss of top running back Miles Sanders, who will also miss this game, to an ankle injury.  Hurts leads the Eagles with 549 rushing yards and has run for at least 53 yards in each of his last four games.  Through the air Hurts finished with 178 passing yards, two touchdowns and an interception last week.  Rookie receiver DeVonta Smith hauled in both touchdown passes and finished with 66 receiving yards.  In the three games since Sanders was injured, Philly has averaged over 200 rushing yards per contest.  It’s unclear if tight end Dallas Goedert will be available on Sunday.  Goedert left last week’s game with a concussion, but he was reportedly cleared to practice Thursday.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Saints vs. Eagles?

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