Saints vs. Broncos Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 26, 2020

taysom hill saints

What's next for Taysom Hill? The new Saints quarterback will lead his club into Denver on Sunday as 6-point favourites.

AT
November 29, 2020, 4:05 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
Denver
5-11
Pointspread -17 -110
Moneyline -1215
Over / Under o +36.5

70%

Betting Action

30%

Pointspread +17 -110
Moneyline +878
Over / Under u +36.5

70%

Betting Action

30%

Chapter 1 of the Taysom Hill Era was a roaring success for the New Orleans Saints – but Week 12 presents an entirely different challenge as Hill and the Saints visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday. Coming off an impressive 24-9 home victory over the division-rival Atlanta Falcons, the Saints are six-point favourites at Mile High but could be in tough in a November road tilt against a Broncos team that has won its previous two home games.

NFL Week 12 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

New Orleans is favoured by an unconverted touchdown as it looks to extend its overall winning streak to eight (and its cover streak to four). The Saints have been a road terror with a 10-1 SU mark over their previous 11 away games, but have lost each of their previous five visits to Denver. Bettors are undeterred by the latter factoid, with a whopping 77 percent of Sports Interaction respondents taking the visitors minus the points.

The public lean on the total is even more one-sided, with 88 percent of participants leaning toward the Over on the 43.5. The Saints had rewarded Over bettors consistently, exceeding the total in seven straight, but have cashed the Under in each of their last three outings. The Broncos have been kind to those playing the Under, with 14 of their last 20 contests falling short of the number (including each of their last two games).

New Orleans Saints

What will we see from Hill in his second start in place of the injured Drew Brees? His passing numbers were modest against the Falcons, but he added 51 yards and a pair of scores on the ground and should either approach or surpass those numbers Sunday afternoon. One thing to monitor: the passing game involvement of star running back Alvin Kamara, who had zero catches on one target – both career lows – in last week’s victory.

Denver Broncos

The Broncos’ offence has hit the skids, producing just 32 points in the past two games. And there’s little hope for optimism this week, with the Saints having made life miserable for opposing quarterbacks for the better part of two months. The key Sunday: establishing the run. Denver averages a robust 5.1 yards per carry at Mile High on the season, while struggling to a 3.9 yards-per-attempt average on the road.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Saints vs. Broncos?

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