Packers vs. Vikings Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Nov 18, 2021

Green Bay is a perfect 9-0 against the spread over their last nine games, going 8-1 straight up during that stretch.

Green Bay
13-4
AT
November 21, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota
8-9
Pointspread -1.5 -120
Moneyline -133
Over / Under o +47

78%

Betting Action

22%

Pointspread +1.5 +100
Moneyline +111
Over / Under u +47

78%

Betting Action

22%

It’s an NFC North battle on Sunday afternoon as the Minnesota Vikings get set to host the Green Bay Packers.  Green Bay is running away with the division thanks to an 8-2 record, including a 17-0 shutout against Seattle last week.  Minnesota sits in second in the division at 4-5 following a 27-20 upset win against the Chargers.

The Packers are 2-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 48.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These teams split the season series last year, although it’s worth noting that Green Bay has won three of the last four meetings.  Both of last year’s games went Over the total, while the three games before that went Under.  Sports Interaction bettors like the Packers in this one, as 78 per cent of action is backing the Cheeseheads.  The Under is favoured by about 70 per cent of bettors.

Green Bay comes into this matchup with four wins in six road games and they’re riding a five-game win streak against NFC North teams.  The Packers have been a bettor’s dream this season, going 9-1 against the spread.  The only game they didn’t cover was that ugly 38-3 Week 1 loss in New Orleans.  Low scores have been a trend for Green Bay lately.  The Packers have gone Under in seven straight games overall and five of their six road games.

It’s tough to place where Minnesota sits this year.  They’ve been a bit of an up-and-down team, going 2-2 at home.  They’re 5-4 ATS overall, but they’ve been a terrible cover option at home, going 1-7 ATS in their last eight contests at U.S. Bank Stadium.  The total has gone Under in five of the Vikings’ last seven games overall.  They haven’t hit the Over at home this season.

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers didn’t exactly return to the lineup with a bang last week, but he did enough to get the win.  Rodgers, who missed Week 10 after testing positive for COVID, threw for 292 yards, no touchdowns and an interception against Seattle.  Running back AJ Dillon handled most of the offence, rushing for two fourth quarter touchdowns and 66 total yards.  It was Green Bay’s first shutout win in three years and the first time Seattle has been shutout in a decade, the year before Russell Wilson‘s NFL debut.

The Packers defence saved the day last week and they’ve been playing at an elite level all season.  Green Bay held Seattle to 208 total yards, limiting Wilson to no touchdowns and two interceptions.  For the season, the Packers rank third in total defence, allowing 309.9 total yards per game.  They’re also third in scoring defence, allowing 18 points per game.

One notable absence this week will be running back Aaron Jones, who left the Seattle game with an MCL sprain.  It’s not thought to be a season-ending  injury, but he won’t play on Sunday.  Expect Dillon to get more touches this week as a result.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings may have just saved their season with last week’s upset road win against the Chargers.  It was a crucial bounce-back win following two consecutive losses.  Kirk Cousins threw for 294 yards and two touchdowns, while Dalvin Cook rushed for 94 yards and a score.  Tyler Conklin hauled in both receiving touchdowns.  Justin Jefferson had a monster performance, picking up 143 receiving yards on nine catches.

Minnesota had five players miss last week’s game after being placed on the COVID list, including starting safety Harrison Smith and centre Garrett Bradbury.  They were also missing four defensive starters because of various injuries.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Packers vs. Vikings?

SportsInteraction