Packers vs. Texans Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Oct 20, 2020

Aaron Rodgers, Packers, 2020

Last week, the Packers were up 10-0 to start the game and then allowed 38 unanswered for their first loss of 2020. They hope to rebound this week in Houston.

Green Bay
7-3
AT
October 25, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Houston
4-7
Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -155
Over / Under o +56

90%

Betting Action

10%

Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +129
Over / Under u +56

90%

Betting Action

10%

The Green Bay Packers suffered their first loss of the season last Sunday, getting smoked by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now they’ll visit the Houston Texans, who have just one win on the entire season. Logic says the Packers should roll here but the betting line indicates this could be a close game. What’s the best bet here?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games when following an ATS loss. The over is 5-2 in their last seven games as well. Green Bay is 8-1 straight up in their last nine games when coming in as the favorite but are just 3-9 straight up in their past 12 games on the road after losing their last road game.

Meanwhile, the Texans are 0-6 straight up and ATS in their past six games when coming in as the underdog and 1-4 straight up in their last five games following a loss in the game prior. Houston is also 0-5 ATS in their last five home games after covering in their last home game.

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay did not have nearly the game that anyone expected in their last matchup, losing 38-10 to the Buccaneers. It is even more shocking after the Packers were up 10-0 to start the game and then allowed 38 unanswered.

Aaron Rodgers hadn’t thrown an interception all year but threw two on Sunday – including a pick-six. One of the league-leading candidates for MVP, he finished with 160 passing yards with two interceptions and no touchdowns. For the Packers to get back on track, Rodgers needs to play better. The good news is he’s going up against the league’s second-worst defense this week as Houston is giving up 423.0 yards per game and 30.3 points per game. The Packers offense should cook.

Houston Texans

The Texans have been playing good football since the firing of head coach Bill O’Brien. They won their first game and took the undefeated Tennessee Titans to overtime before losing last week. Quarterback Deshaun Watson passed for 335 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions last week as the offense was electric.

They also rushed for 92 yards and a touchdown as a team, which might not seem like much but considering they are still averaging just 85.8 on the season, last week’s output was a success. They need more of that this week as they can’t keep putting the game on Watson’s shoulders. The other key here is they have to control the clock a little bit and keep the Packers offense on the sidelines. Green Bay might be vulnerable there as they are allowing 4.7 yards per carry this season, which is 24th in the NFL.

Who Will Win Packers vs. Texans?

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