Packers vs. Broncos Point Spread: NFL Preseason Week 3 Picks

Ricky Rothstein | Updated Aug 21, 2017

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos

Arguably the best preseason matchup of Week 3, if you go simply by records, would be Green Bay visiting Denver with both clubs at 2-0 in the exhibition season. All the news from this game figures to come from the Broncos’ side, however.

Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos

Point spread: Broncos -3

Over/under: 43

Date: Saturday, Aug. 26, 9 p.m. ET

Location:Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver

The New Vince Lombardi!?

Denver’s Vance Joseph is the greatest coach in NFL history! OK, preseason history as his winning percentage is 1.000 and you can’t do any better than that. First-year coaches like Joseph tend to put more emphasis on winning preseason games to build team unity and character. Meanwhile, Green Bay coach Mike McCarthy is 25-20 in his exhibition career.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

There will be totals in the 40s in Week 3, something you don’t see much of the first two weeks. That’s because starters generally play the most of the entire preseason in Week 3. Usually, it’s the entire first half, but every coach is different. It’s the first time since 2008 the Packers and Broncos have played each other in the preseason.

The clubs last met in the regular season two years ago and Denver ended a three-game skid in the series with a 29-10 home victory. It gave Peyton Manning his 186th regular-season victory, fittingly tying former Packers legend Brett Favre for the most ever. That was Manning’s last regular-season win as a starter. Tom Brady will break the mark of 186 this year. Aaron Rodgers had one of the worst games of his career that November day by throwing for only 77 yards. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers opened the preseason with a 24-9 win over the Eagles and then won in Washington on Saturday, 21-17. Rodgers didn’t play vs. Philly and wasn’t expected to against the Redskins but did, completing 6-for-8 for 37 yards and a touchdown to new tight end Martellus Bennett. Rodgers will play vs. Denver but history indicates it won’t be for the entire first half.

The summer of 2012 was the last time Rodgers played in all four preseason games. Last year, he played just two total series. No. 1 running back Ty Montgomery sat out vs. Washington and could again with a leg injury. Rookie Jamaal Williams has emerged as Montgomery’s primary backup.

Denver Broncos

When training camp started, Joseph said he wanted to name his starting quarterback for the season between Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch before his team’s third preseason game. Apparently, it’s going to be Siemian. The guys split reps with the first team in practices, with Siemian starting the first preseason game and Lynch the second.

Siemian has been much better in completing 14 of 18 passes for 144 yards and a touchdown – good for a rating of 118.5. He has led three scoring drives of at least 46 yards. Lynch is 15 of 22 passing for 81 yards without a touchdown pass. This is Denver’s first home preseason game after winning 24-17 in Chicago and 33-14 in San Francisco, two of the NFC’s worst teams. New Broncos running Jamaal Charles has yet to debut off a knee injury but is expected to play here.

Bills at Ravens Prediction

Broncos 27, Packers 21.