NFL Week 12 Betting Preview: Hot Bets and Moving Odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Nov 21, 2013

Tom Brady Peyton Manning

We knew it was coming, but seeing the New England Patriots set as home underdogs still looks strange on the Week 12 odds board. Tom Brady’s crew hasn’t been pegged as a pup at Gillette Stadium since way back in 2005 when – you guessed it – Peyton Manning’s Indianapolis Colts were in town.  The Colts cruised to a 40-21 win in that one.

This week Peyton and the Broncos opened as 2.5-point favorites, coming off a statement win over the then-unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs. Right now, the Broncos are +344 to win the Super Bowl, second only to the Seattle Seahawks at +330. New England sits at +900.

But if there’s one team that knows how to get under Peyton Manning’s skin, it’s the Pats. In 13 meetings between Manning and Brady, Tom has won nine of those. On Thursday morning our line shifted to New England +2 with about 60 percent of our action coming in on the Patriots. The total has dropped from 56 to 54.5, but we’re still seeing nothing but over money as of Thursday.

Other odds on the move

The New Orleans Saints opened as 7.5-point favorites in a divisional road game at Atlanta earlier this week. That line didn’t last long with all of Atlanta’s injuries. The Saints are now up to -10 with 84 percent of our bettors still supporting the Saints.

The 49ers and Redskins collide for a Week 12 matchup that has plenty of playoff implications. Washington, coming off two straight losses, opened as a 4.5-point underdog and now sits at +5.5. San Francisco has covered in six of its last seven games.

St. Louis hammered Indianapolis in Week 10 and then went on its bye. The Rams opened as a Pick ‘em at home to the banged-up Chicago Bears and have moved to 1-point favorites as they look to improve to 5-6 on the year.

The last time Dallas and the New York Giants got together, the Cowboys won in a shootout. This time, the total opened at 46.5 but has already dropped to 44.5.

Week 12’s most popular bets

Sports Interaction bettors are all over a number of road teams in Week 12.

Following Pittsburgh’s big win over Detroit last week, about 80 percent of our bets are coming in on the Steelers as they head to Cleveland as 2-point underdogs.  Meanwhile, 87 percent of our handle is on the Carolina Panthers as 4-point favorites at Miami. That’s the most popular bet on the board as of Thursday.