NFL Week 11 Recap: What We Learned

Ricky Rothstein | Updated Oct 04, 2017

Josh McDaniels

A look now, at the biggest NFL football betting stories to emerge from Week 1.

Mile High collapse. What has become of the Denver Broncos? Less than a month ago, they were a perfect 6-0 and the darlings of the National Football League. But as of this morning, they were all but toe-tagged and en route to the morgue. To say the Broncos have collapsed is a massive understatement; they’ve lost four consecutive games straight-up and against the spread, haven’t scored more than 17 points in a single contest and – in the last four games combined – have been outscored 117-37.

Wow.

Bettors have no clue what to make of this team right now. Against San Diego on Sunday, the Broncos were six-point home underdogs – normally a great number for the Broncos in the friendly confines of Invesco Field. After all, Denver already beat the Chargers once this year. Even with Chris Simms starting at QB, the Denver defense (and the fact the Broncos beat New England and Dallas at home already this season) seemed solid enough to keep this one close. Yet this game was anything but. A 32-3 whitewash exposed all that is wrong with the Broncos – they can’t run the ball, the defense can stop the run. Josh McDaniels hit the panic button way too early by inserting a hobbled Kyle Orton in the first half, and the team looked rattled.

Bad day for the AFC North. All four teams – Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Cleveland – suffered heartbreaking losses on Sunday. The Bengals gave up 10 points in the final minute to lose a stunner in Oakland; Pittsburgh were done in by the sad-sacks Chiefs in overtime; Baltimore fumbled away numerous opportunities before losing to Indianapolis 17-15 and the Browns lost on a last-second touchdown in Detroit. The lone bright spot (for bettors, anyways) was that Cleveland managed to cover +3 against the Lions, even if it didn’t feel like a bright spot for Browns fans.

Miscellaneous…

Matt Ryan managed to not throw any interceptions, but the Falcons still managed to lose again (34-41 in OT to the Giants), their fourth in the last five games…Don’t look now, but the Redskins are starting to rack up wins against the spread. After dispatching of Denver last weekend, Washington covered +11 this week with a tough 7-6 loss to Dallas…The Seattle Seahawks do not deal well with being big road underdogs. In three games this year they’ve been double-digits dogs on the road (+10 in Indy, +10 in Dallas, +10.5 in Minnesota) and got blown out every single time…As long as Mark Sanchez is behind centre for the New York Jets, you simply cannot wager on them with any confidence. Sanchez has seven turnovers in his last two games, and those turnovers are either leading directly to points or drives that put scores on the board…

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