NFL Week 11 Player Props and Predictions: It’s the Kelce Bowl on prime-time
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Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: Give Zay his flowers
It’s a key divisional game for the Ravens and Bengals in Baltimore on Thursday night and we’re expecting a big game from rookie receiver Zay Flowers. Drafted by Baltimore with the 22nd pick in 2023, Flowers has had a strong start to his rookie campaign. He recorded at least 50 total yards in his first seven games, becoming just the second rookie receiver to accomplish the feat since 1970 (coincidentally, the other receiver was Cincinnati’s Ja’Marr Chase).
Flowers put up 73 receiving yards on five targets last week in another AFC North matchup, the sixth time in 10 games this season he has had more than 55.5 combined rushing and receiving yards. He’s due for a truly dominant performance as he has the most targets on the Ravens (68) this season and he’s up against a Bengals defence that favours man-to-man coverage, a strategy Flowers can exploit.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Zay Flowers Over 55.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115)
Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos: Sorry, Russ
Don’t look now, but sitting in the midst of a three-game win streak, the Denver Broncos are no longer the biggest train wreck in the NFL. After back-to-back wins against Kansas City and Buffalo, feel free to fill out Denver receiver Courtland Sutton’s ‘Russell Wilson apology form’ on Instagram (it’s a real thing), because we certainly will.
Wilson threw the ball 29 times with only five incompletions in Monday’s win over the Bills, completing 82 per cent of his passes with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Through nine games, he has thrown for 18 TDs and just four picks. With the Broncos’ playoff hopes miraculously still alive, we’re all-in on Wilson having another solid outing against Minnesota in Week 11.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Russell Wilson Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+130)
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs: The Kelce Bowl
It’s the Kelce Bowl on Monday to end Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season as Travis Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs face Jason Kelce and the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl 57 rematch. While there is some concern about Travis Kelce’s recent travel schedule (the Chiefs were in Germany in Week 9, Kelce was in Argentina in last week’s bye), we still like him for a solid performance in Week 11 for one key reason: who else can Patrick Mahomes throw the ball to?
Kelce is Mahomes’ favourite option this season, with 72 targets and 57 receptions, while the next closer player, Rashee Rice, has 41 targets and 32 receptions. Kelce has the second-most receiving yards of any tight end in the NFL this season (597) and he’s fresh and healthy coming off a bye week.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Travis Kelce Over 74.5 receiving yards (-120)