NFL Spreads Week 13: Best Picks Against the Spread

Ricky Rothstein | Updated Nov 28, 2016


If you simply chose to bet on all the favourites in Week 12 of the NFL season, then you probably cashed in — at least if you did so on the moneyline. Heading into the Monday night game, all but two betting favourites won outright in Week 12. The only underdogs to do so were Tampa Bay over Seattle and Kansas City in Denver in a wild game. Here’s a quick look at all Week 13 matchups with Sports Interaction NFL odds. Games on Sunday unless noted. Cleveland and Tennessee are on the bye — it’s the last of the bye weeks.

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings, Thursday

Point spread: Dallas -3 Total: 43.5 It’s a potential playoff preview with Dallas on a 10-game winning streak and sporting the NFL’s best record, and the Vikings still in the chase for the NFC North title but more likely a potential wild-card spot after losing in Detroit on Thanksgiving. It’s the first meeting between the Cowboys and Vikings since 2013, and I will have an in-depth preview of the game on Tuesday at Sports Interaction. Pick ATS: Vikings

Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons

Point spread: Atlanta -4 Total: TBA The Chiefs stole a victory in Denver on Sunday night, scoring a tying touchdown and 2-point conversion in the final seconds of regulation and then winning 30-27 in the final seconds of overtime. K.C. did so playing without top receiver Jeremy Maclin and one of the NFL’s leading sackers in outside linebacker Dee Ford. The NFC South-leading Falcons had little trouble dispatching Arizona on Sunday, 38-19. Pick ATS: Falcons

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints

Point spread: New Orleans -4.5 Total: 53.5 The Lions are truly an amazing bunch. They have trailed in the fourth quarter of every game this season but improved to 7-4 with a Thanksgiving 16-13 win over Minnesota on a Matt Prater 40-yard field goal as time expired. Now Detroit is in total control of the NFC North Division. New Orleans still has a shot to win the NFC South and comes off a 49-21 victory over Los Angeles. Drew Brees passed for 310 yards and four TDs. Brees became one of three players with 30 touchdowns in nine different seasons. Pick ATS: Saints


Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots

Point spread: New England -13 Total: 44.5 Bit of a quarterback mismatch here between the Rams’ Jared Goff, the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s draft who will make his third career NFL start, and the Patriots’ Tom Brady, a sixth-round pick in the 2000 draft who might go down as the best signal-caller in NFL history with his four Super Bowl rings and two MVP Awards (and counting). Goff did show some good signs in Sunday’s loss to New Orleans with the first three TD passes of his career. Brady, meanwhile, won his 200th career game including playoffs, tying Peyton Manning’s NFL record. Pick ATS: Rams

Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars

Point spread: Denver -4.5 Total: TBA Denver might be spent after that draining, very physical loss to the Chiefs on Sunday night. The Broncos can’t afford a defeat to a bad team like Jacksonville and hope to make the playoffs. The Jags are last in the AFC South, clearly the second-worst team in the AFC behind Cleveland and on a six-game skid, yet this smells like a trap game for Denver. Pick ATS: Jaguars

Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers

Point spread: TBA Total: TBA Houston coach Bill O’Brien has to start thinking about benching free-agent bust quarterback Brock Osweiler as he struggled again Sunday in a 21-13 defeat to San Diego, the Texans’ first home loss of the season. But Houston still leads the mediocre AFC South. Short week for Green Bay after playing in Philadelphia on Monday night. Pick ATS: Packers


Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals

Point spread: TBA Total: TBA Short week for Philly after hosting Green Bay on Monday. The Bengals lost their third straight Sunday, 19-14 in Baltimore. They are without two of their best offensive players for the rest of the season in receiver AJ Green and running back Gio Bernard. Pick ATS: Bengals

Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens

Point spread: Baltimore -3.5 Total: 41.5 This could have some wild-card implications if Ravens don’t win the AFC North — I’m assuming the Dolphins, who have won six in a row, won’t beat out New England in the AFC East. Last year, Miami hosted Baltimore in Week 13 and won 15-13. With Joe Flacco hurt, the Ravens started QB Matt Schaub and he was terrible. The Dolphins scored their two TDs 20 seconds apart in the first quarter, the second a 22-yard interception return of a Schaub pass. Miami had just eight first downs in the game and 219 yards. Pick ATS: Ravens

San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears

Point spread: Chicago -2.5 Total: 43.5 Easily the least attractive game of the week as the teams have combined for three wins, but that doesn’t mean it’s not important. Assuming the Cleveland Browns finish with the NFL’s worst record and get the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s draft, the loser of this game should be in very good position to pick No. 2. The 49ers won in Chicago in Week 13 last year, 26-20 in overtime. Blaine Gabbert threw a 71-yard touchdown pass to Torrey Smith in OT after running for the tying TD late in regulation. Gabbert is now a reserve. Pick ATS: Bears

Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders

Point spread: Oakland -3.5 Total: 49.5 Oakland beat visiting Carolina 35-32 on Sunday despite blowing a 24-7 lead to maintain its one-game lead atop the AFC West. Raiders QB Derek Carr suffered a horrific-looking dislocated pinkie on his throwing hand (I don’t recommend you try to find video of that if squeamish) at the start of the second half but missed only a series. Buffalo beat Jacksonville 28-21 on Sunday to keep its wild-card hopes alive. Pick ATS: Raiders (assuming Carr is playing)


New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers

Point spread: Pittsburgh -5.5 Total: 49 Nice matchup of quarterbacks taken in the first round of the 2004 draft who each have won two Super Bowl rings in the Giants’ Eli Manning and Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger. Both guys will be in Canton some day. Big Ben threw three touchdown passes, all to Antonio Brown, in the Steelers’ 28-7 Thanksgiving night win at Indianapolis. Manning also threw three in Sunday’s 27-13 win at Cleveland. The Giants have won six straight games. Pick ATS: Steelers

Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals

Point spread: Arizona -2.5 Total: 49.5 Both these clubs won their respective divisions last year, but that’s not going to happen for either in 2016. Any shot the Redskins had of repeating in the NFC East vanished in their 31-26 Thanksgiving loss in Dallas. Kirk Cousins had a monster game, throwing for 449 yards and three scores. He’s the first Washington QB with two 400-yard games in a single season. Arizona was clobbered in Atlanta on Sunday to fall two games under .500. Pick ATS: Cardinals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Diego Chargers

Point spread: San Diego -3.5 Total: 46.5 The Bucs return to Qualcomm Stadium, the site of their lone Super Bowl win on Jan. 26, 2003. Tampa upset Seattle on Sunday, 14-5 in a dominating defensive performance. San Diego came off its bye week and won in Houston, 21-13. Philip Rivers threw for 242 yards and three touchdowns. Pick ATS: Chargers

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks

Point spread: Seattle -6.5 Total: 45 The Sunday night game of Week 13, and I will have an in-depth preview later this week. The Panthers beat the Seahawks twice last year, once in the regular season in Seattle and then in the NFC divisional playoffs in Charlotte. Pick ATS: Seahawks

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets, Monday

Point spread: pick’em Total: TBA While New York is playing out the string, the Colts are trying to stay in the AFC South race. Will they have star QB Andrew Luck for Monday’s game? He missed their Thanksgiving night 28-7 home loss to the Steelers with a concussion. Look for a preview of this later this week. Pick ATS: Colts if Luck plays