NFL Predictions: Joe Burrow Odds with Bengals

David Bastl | Updated Apr 30, 2020

Joe Burrow, LSU, 2019

Joe Burrow put up some incredible offensive numbers at LSU last season, but what will the first overall pick do with the Cincinnati Bengals this year?

The Cincinnati Bengals drafted their next franchise Quarterback and now the Joe Burrow era will begin in the Nati.

Head Zac Taylor told the media that Burrow will compete for the team’s starting job; the future is now. Veteran Andy Dalton was set to enter the final year of his contract, but released by the Bengals just a week after the draft. So the only quarterbacks on the roster behind Burrow are Ryan Finley and Jake Dolegala.

According to ESPN, Bengals President Mike Brown officially welcomed Burrow to Cincinnati, sending him a No.9 Bengals jersey and a note that said he looks forward “to building championship football teams with you for many years to come.”

So, what kind of numbers will Burrow put up in year one? Sports Interaction’s line management team have been busy breaking down the numbers.

Passing Yards and Touchdowns

Burrow put up some incredible numbers at LSU last season throwing for 5671 yards and 60 touchdown passes in Heisman Trophy season. His first year in the NFL will likely deliver more modest numbers that had of his final NCAA season. Sports Interaction has a couple of passing props posted on the website; will Joe Burrow have over 3700 passing yards (yes -120) in the 2020 regular season? Also, will be break Andrew Luck’s 2012 rookie record of 4374 passing yards (yes +250) in a season? Both numbers are within reach. Burrow will have plenty of talent around him, including AJ Green, John Ross, Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and Running back Joe Mixon. He’ll also be chasing Baker Mayfield’s rookie touchdown passing record of 27 in a single season. If Burrows passes that mark, you’ll cash a ticket at +150. By the way, the rookie Quarterback interception record stands at 28, set by future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning in 1998.

Joe Burrow Rookie Season

Specials - Joe Burrow Breaks The Rookie Record?
  • Yes +150

Offensive Rookie of the Year

Even before Burrow was officially selected by the Bengals in day one of draft, he was already the +250 favourite to win this award and as it stands days after the event, he is still the favourite but now at +225. First year players D’Andre Swift and Tua Tagovailoa fall next in line, but are a distant +700 to capture the award. Since the 2010 season, five out of the team winners of this award have been Quarterbacks including; Sam Bradford, Cam Newton, Robert Griffin III, Dak Prescott and last year’s winner Kyler Murray.

Regular Season MVP

Burrow is one of the largest longshots on the board in this category, checking in at +5000. The Bengals would have to win the AFC North and he would have to break every rookie Quarterback record available. Then, those number would have to be top three numbers across the board to beat out candidates like Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson and Lamar Jackson. That’s a tall task. Perhaps one day he’ll be mentioned in that group. But it doesn’t seem believable in 2020.

2020 NFL Regular Season MVP

Player to win MVP
  • Patrick Mahomes -303
  • Aaron Rodgers +200
  • Josh Allen +1000
  • Russell Wilson +5000
  • Derrick Henry +5000
  • Tom Brady +10000
  • Kyler Murray +10000
  • Ben Roethlisberger +10000
  • Aaron Donald +15000
  • Ryan Tannehill +15000
  • T.J. Watt +15000
Show More Odds

NFL Prediction

I like the line-up Joe Burrow inherits with the Bengals. The talent around the first overall pick is better than what you’d expect from an organization that went 2-14 last season. I expect Burrow to re-write the rookie record book. Take Burrow to win the Offensive rookie of the year award and set the new passing yardage mark.