NFL Playoffs Wild-Card Point Spreads: Best Picks Against the Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 01, 2020

tom brady patriots 2019 playoffs

The Patriots are playing on Wild-Card Weekend for the first time in a decade as they were shocked as 17-point home favourites in Week 17.

While 20 eliminated teams already are looking ahead to the 2020 NFL season, 12 are left to compete for a championship at Super Bowl 54 in Miami on the first Sunday in February. There are five teams in this season’s playoff field that didn’t play extra football following the 2018 campaign. That’s 30 straight years there have been at least four new playoff teams. Here’s a quick look at all the Wild-Card Weekend NFL odds with our picks against the spread (ATS).

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Saturday Jan. 4, 4:35 PM ET

It’s the first-ever post-season meeting between the Bills, who are the AFC’s top Wild-Card team, and the Texans, who are the fourth seed and AFC South champions. Neither franchise has won a Super Bowl – Buffalo is 0-4 in that game and Houston is one of four active franchises to never play in one. Both clubs lost in Week 17 but they both rested numerous starters. Houston has won four of the past five in this series, including 20-13 at home in the 2018 regular season in a defensive slugfest.

Point spread: Texans -2.5

Pick ATS: Houston

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots

Saturday Jan. 4, 8:15 PM ET

Tennessee was the beneficiary of Houston resting starters in Week 17 as the Titans claimed the AFC’s second Wild-Card spot with a 35-14 victory over the Texans. Derrick Henry blew up with 211 yards and three scores on the ground and won the league rushing title. Tennessee is 6-0 when the former Heisman winner rushes for at least 100 yards this season. The Patriots are playing on Wild-Card Weekend for the first time in a decade as they were shocked Sunday as 17-point home favourites by the Miami Dolphins to fall from the potential No. 2 seed in the AFC to the No. 3. It was the biggest upset loss of Tom Brady’s career. Tennessee has lost its past six games at New England by an average of nearly 20 points.

Point spread: Patriots -4

Pick ATS: New England

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

Sunday, Jan. 5, 1:05 PM ET

The Saints were 13-3 and yet didn’t even get a first-round bye – that’s almost unprecedented with 13 victories. They took care of business Sunday with a blowout win at Carolina but didn’t get the help needed in two other games to earn at least the No. 2 seed in the NFC. This could be the last post-season of Drew Brees’ remarkable career as many think the soon-to-be 41-year-old will retire, especially if the Saints win it all. New Orleans has been knocked out of the playoffs the past two seasons in absolutely gut-wrenching fashion. They lost at the Vikings on the Minneapolis Miracle following the 2017 season. At +550, the Saints have the shortest Super Bowl 54 odds of the Wild-Card teams.

Point spread: Saints -8

Pick ATS: Minnesota

Super Bowl LIV

  • Baltimore Ravens +220
  • Kansas City Chiefs +400
  • San Francisco 49ers +400
  • New Orleans Saints +550
  • Green Bay Packers +800
  • New England Patriots +1000
  • Seattle Seahawks +2200
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2500
  • Houston Texans +3300
  • Minnesota Vikings +3300
  • Buffalo Bills +4000
  • Tennessee Titans +5000
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Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, Jan. 5, 4:40 PM ET

Seattle fell less than a yard shy of being the NFC West champion on Sunday night as tight end Jacob Hollister was tackled just inches shy of the goal line on the final play of a 26-21 loss to San Francisco. Quite the way for the 2019 NFL regular season and the football decade to end. That loss knocked Seattle into the NFC’s top Wild-Card spot and earned it a trip across country to Philly. The Seahawks have won their past seven games on the East Coast, though. Philadelphia won at the Giants on Sunday easily to claim the NFC East title and fourth seed. The Eagles have lost their past five vs. the Seahawks, who have covered the spread in all five.

Point spread: Seahawks -1.5

Pick ATS: Philadelphia