The NFL Week 1 party continues tonight with a double bill of Monday Night Football. Here’s what you need to know.
All About Underdogs
Week 1 can be a real crapshoot for bettors. It’s our first real look at these teams after a preseason packed with more vanilla than your local Dairy Queen. So far 10 of 13 underdogs (depending on the lines you bought) have covered the spread.
“It does not look like bettors are jumping on the underdog trend we saw yesterday,” a Sports Interaction oddsmaker Greg Sindall says. “Week 1 can certainly be a good time for sharp bettors with teams having new players, new coaches and new schemes. It can take a few weeks to see how teams are going gel with their changes and it can also take a few weeks for books to figure out how bettors are going to bet on teams that have seen significant changes in the off season.
“During the first few weeks while everybody is trying to figure things out, there can be some value out there. But that may not be just on underdogs; there could be value on favourites as well.”
Sindall doesn’t expect to see significant line movement from either of Monday’s games before kickoff.
Eli Manning and the New York Giants head into tonight’s game with a lot to prove. Manning struggled to move the chains in preseason play as the G-men tried to get a handle of Ben McAdoo’s new offense. So far it hasn’t been pretty. New York’s starters played 19 preseason series and managed just three touchdowns. Now, the pressure’s on.
The Lions were set as 5-point favorites on Aug. 30 and that line went up to as high as -6.5 on Sunday before dropping back to -6.
“About 73 percent of bettors are backing the Detroit Lions at -6,” Sindall says.
Could the Arizona Cardinals be a Super Bowl contender if they didn’t have to play in the NFC West? Some people think so after they went 10-6 last season, doing bettors a lot of favors with an 11-6 record against the spread. However, Sindall isn’t convinced yet.
“I don’t think the Cards are going to contend for the NFC West this year,” Sindall says. “The division is simply too tough. I think they will be out of the picture by mid-season.“
Right now it looks as though the betting public has their doubts about the Cardinals too.
“Bettors like San Diego as underdogs in this game with 64 percent of the money on the Chargers.”