NFL Futures: Tom Brady’s Return Shakes Up Super Bowl and MVP Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Mar 14, 2022

NFL futures betting has shifted as next season's Super Bowl and MVP odds have been heavily impacted by the announcement that Tom Brady will return to Tampa Bay for one more year.

Tom Brady is running it back for at least one more season.  Considered by many to be the NFL G.O.A.T., Brady, who turns 45 in August, sent shockwaves through the sports world when he announced his retirement on Feb. 1 and speculation about his return began almost immediately.

Brady lasted just 40 days in retirement before announcing he would be back for one more season.  When he suits up in Week 1, he will be the oldest starting quarterback in NFL history and his seven Super Bowl rings is more than every other active Super Bowl winning quarterback combined – Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco, Nick Foles and Matthew Stafford each have one ring.  The Buccaneers, who were +2800 to win the Super Bowl before TB12 tweeted he would be back, have jumped to +800.  They only trail Buffalo at +745.

Check out the complete list of Super Bowl odds on Sports Interaction’s NFL futures board.  For odds on the upcoming 2022 NFL draft, head to Sports Interaction’s NFL props page.

Super Bowl LVII Odds

With NFL free agency set to begin this week, Tampa Bay is looking like a much more desirable destination with Brady under centre.  Five of the top seven Super Bowl favourites now reside in the NFC.  Buffalo is the Super Bowl LVII favourite at +745, while the Bucs are tied with Kansas City as second-favourites at +800.

Without Brady, Tampa Bay was fifth to win the NFC outright at +1500.  With Brady, they’re +295 favourites.  The Bucs were already favoured to win the NFC South at +145, but they now sit at -240, followed by the Saints (+445), the Panthers (+710) and the Falcons (+1100).


It’s not just the Super Bowl odds that have shifted as a result of Brady’s return.  The MVP odds have also changed, with Brady coming in at +733 to win a fourth career MVP.  Buffalo’s Josh Allen is the favourite at +595, followed by Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (+650) and the winner of the last two MVPs, Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (+655).