Kansas City Chiefs NFL Predictions: 2019 Season Betting Odds and Preview

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 30, 2019

kansas city chiefs mahomes kelce

The Kansas City Chiefs were one of the best NFL against the spread bets last year at 10-7-1 including the playoffs. They open with three of their first four on the road.

No question that the biggest individual story line of the 2018 NFL regular season was that of Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. There were plenty of questions about Mahomes as the No. 10 overall pick out of Texas Tech in 2017 because he never took a snap under centre. Quarterbacks of those gimmicky offences often fail in the NFL. Mahomes played just one meaningless Week 17 game his rookie year, but the Chiefs liked what they saw so much in practices during the year that they traded a very good veteran starter in Alex Smith. Wise decision! Mahomes was the runaway NFL MVP in throwing for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns last year, joining Peyton Manning as the only member of the 5,000/50 club in a single season.

The Chiefs finished 12-4, won the AFC West and were the conference’s top seed. They routed Indianapolis in the Divisional Round of the playoffs and would have beaten New England in the AFC title game if not for a late, crushing offside call on linebacker Dee Ford that wiped out a clinching interception. Kansas City would lose in overtime, with its offence never getting the ball.

Kansas City Chiefs Acquisitions and Transactions

To no surprise, the Chiefs basically left the NFL’s top-ranked offence untouched this off-season. You may remember that 2017 NFL rushing king Kareem Hunt was booted from the team last season for some off-field issues but he wasn’t much missed. Kansas City’s clear issue was on defence in 2019 and that unit will be completely overhauled in 2019 – including a new coordinator in Steve Spagnuolo. The Chiefs said goodbye to the likes of Ford, Justin Houston, Steven Nelson and Orlando Scandrick on that side of the ball and welcomed guys like Frank Clark, Alex Okafor, Emmanuel Ogbah, Darron Lee, Bashaud Breeland and Tyrann Mathieu. Unusual for a top Super Bowl contender to make such drastic changes, but the defence needed it.

Kansas City Chiefs 2019 NFL Schedule

Kansas City has the fifth-toughest schedule (tied) in the NFL with its opponents combining for a .531 winning per centage last season. Circle the one in New England as that could be for home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs. All times listed in ET.

Week 1 (Sept. 8): at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 2 (Sept. 15): at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m. (CBS)

Week 3 (Sept. 22): vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 4 (Sept. 29): at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. (Fox)

Week 5 (Oct. 6): vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Week 6 (Oct. 13): vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 7 (Oct. 17): at Denver Broncos, 8:20 p.m. (Fox, NFL Network)

Week 8 (Oct. 27): vs. Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Week 9 (Nov. 3): vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. (Fox)

Week 10 (Nov. 10): at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 11 (Nov. 18): vs. LA Chargers in Mexico, 8:15 p.m. (ESPN)

Week 12: BYE

Week 13 (Dec. 1): vs. Oakland Raiders, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 14 (Dec. 8): at New England Patriots, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

Week 15 (Dec. 15): vs. Denver Broncos, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Week 16 (Dec. 22): at Chicago Bears, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Week 17 (Dec. 29): vs. LA Chargers, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting and Odds

The Chiefs have a Sports Interaction win total of 10.5 (tied second-most in NFL), with the under a very slight favourite. They are -357 to make the playoffs and +235 to miss. Kansas City is -159 to win the AFC West for a fourth straight year, +375 to win the AFC title and +750 second-favourites to win the franchise’s second Super Bowl. The Chiefs were one of the best NFL against the spread bets last year at 10-7-1 including the playoffs. This team could get off to a very strong start even with three of the first four on the road. That’s because just two of the first 10 games are against clubs that made the 2018 post-season. The Week 12 bye is way too late in the year, and the two toughest road games follow that at New England and Chicago. Quite possible the Week 17 home game vs. the Chargers decides the AFC West. Kansas City has won 16 of its past 18 games against AFC West foes.

2019-20 AFC Championship

  • New England Patriots +300
  • Kansas City Chiefs +375
  • Cleveland Browns +700
  • Los Angeles Chargers +700
  • Indianapolis Colts +750
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +1000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +1600
  • Baltimore Ravens +1600
  • Houston Texans +1600
  • Tennessee Titans +2800
  • Denver Broncos +3300
  • Oakland Raiders +3300
  • New York Jets +4000
  • Buffalo Bills +5000
  • Miami Dolphins +6600
  • Cincinnati Bengals +6600
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Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

There’s really nowhere to go but down for Mahomes, who is the new face of the league and the cover boy of the Madden NFL 20 video game – yep, there’s a major Madden Curse, too! Mahomes surely will be fantastic, but 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns don’t just fall off trees. Kansas City already has caught one huge break when the NFL didn’t suspend superstar receiver Tyreek Hill for some off-field issues when it was widely thought he’d get at least a few games. Tailback Damien Williams was a revelation filling in for Hunt last season, but there’s a reason Williams was a backup in Miami the previous four years. How long might it take for that new-look defence to gel? The Chiefs finish 10-6 and second in the AFC West behind the Chargers, good enough for a Wild-Card spot.